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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies
Sun 1:35 PM ET
Washington Nationals logo
Washington
Nationals5
T. Williams RHP · 4–0, 1.94 ERA
versus
Philadelphia Phillies logo
Philadelphia
Phillies11
A. Nola RHP · 5–2, 3.26 ERA
Final
Team123456789T
Washington Nationals0002100025
Philadelphia Phillies

Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: May 19, 2024 at 1:35 PM ET

Venue: Citizens Bank Park — Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

Article updated May 18, 10:15 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Washington Nationals and Philadelphia Phillies will face off in the final game of a three-game divisional series on Sunday afternoon. The Phillies currently lead the

Game outlook

The Washington Nationals and Philadelphia Phillies will face off in the final game of a three-game divisional series on Sunday afternoon. The Phillies currently lead the season series 3-1 and are the betting favorites with Aaron Nola taking the mound against Trevor Williams for the Nationals. Nola has an ERA of 3.26, while Williams has an ERA of 1.94. The Phillies opened as -232 favorites and the line has remained steady.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Nationals +201 | Phillies -232

Spread: Nationals +1.5 (-115) | Phillies -1.5 (-105)

Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Philadelphia will win straight-up is 70%.

Washington Nationals

The Nationals will have Trevor Williams starting in their upcoming game. Williams has been performing well recently, with strong stats including a 1.94 ERA and a 4-0 record in his last few outings. However, he has historically struggled against the Phillies. Washington is coming off a challenging road trip, but remains at .500 on the road. Luis Garcia Jr. has been a standout performer at the plate, with impressive numbers for the season. Despite averaging 3.91 runs per game, the team is ranked 21st in offense. Defensively, they have a 3.77 ERA, ranking them 11th. Overall, Washington is ranked 14th in power rankings, with a 20-23 record for the season.

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MLB · Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies

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Philadelphia Phillies Analysis

The Phillies are set to have Aaron Nola pitching, coming off a strong performance with a complete game shutout against the Mets. Nola has been consistent, allowing two or fewer runs in three of his last five outings. Philadelphia holds the best record in the big leagues and has not lost a series in over a month, showcasing both offensive and pitching strength. JT Realmuto is performing well at the plate with a .857 OPS this month. The Phillies lead the league in scoring with an average of 5.24 runs per game and have a solid pitching staff with a 3.17 ERA. Despite Washington's recent success against Philadelphia, the Phillies maintain a strong record of 32-14.

Trevor Williams shines while Aaron Nola falters: Nationals favored in upcoming matchup

Trevor Williams has proven to be a reliable and effective pitcher for the Nationals this season, consistently holding his opponents to minimal runs in five consecutive performances. This impressive feat includes standout performances against strong teams such as the Rangers and Orioles. In contrast, Aaron Nola has struggled when pitching at home, with a 4.60 ERA and a 1-2 record to show for it. In his most recent home start, he surrendered four runs. Given Williams' consistent success and Nola's home struggles, I recommend betting on the Nationals with a +1.5 run advantage in their upcoming matchup.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#WashingtonNationals#PhiladelphiaPhillies

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Nationals vs Phillies archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Nationals vs Phillies matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Washington Nationals+201 → +195Moved
  • Moneyline · Philadelphia Phillies-232 → -230Moved
  • Spread · Washington Nationals+1.5 (-115) → +1.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Philadelphia Phillies-1.5 (-105) → -1.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over7.5 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under7.5 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Washington Nationals
77-85 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 2-7-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Philadelphia Phillies
88-74 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 6-3-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-05-19T02:15:17.790Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-05-18Washington Nationals 3 · Philadelphia Phillies 4
  • 2024-05-17Washington Nationals 2 · Philadelphia Phillies 4
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Philadelphia Phillies defeated Washington Nationals 11-5

Philadelphia Phillies defeated Washington Nationals 11-5 on May 19, 2024, a 6-run decision in the series. Philadelphia Phillies' strongest period was the 5th inning, when it outscored its opponent 4-1. Against SportsJaw's recorded Washington Nationals +1.5 (-110) spread, Philadelphia Phillies covered, while the 16 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 7.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • HitmanhartTotal · Over 7.5 (-110)Win
  • Teddy718Moneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -238Win
  • AdrianMariucciMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -238Win
  • CoversMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -238Win
  • PeytoncTotal · Over 7.5 (-110)Win