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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays
Fri 7:07 PM ET
Boston Red Sox logo
Boston
Red Sox5
J. Paxton LHP
versus
Toronto Blue Jays logo
Toronto
Blue Jays0
J. Berrios RHP
Final
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Boston Red Sox0000130105
Toronto Blue Jays000000000

Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: June 30, 2023 at 7:07 PM ET

Venue: Rogers Centre — Toronto, Ontario

Article updated Jun 30, 6:37 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

When the Boston Red Sox and the Toronto Blue Jays meet for their weekend series, there is always a lot at stake. With the Red Sox closing a three-game home set against the

Game outlook

When the Boston Red Sox and the Toronto Blue Jays meet for their weekend series, there is always a lot at stake. With the Red Sox closing a three-game home set against the Marlins Thursday night with the hopes of avoiding a sweep, both teams will be hungry for the win. The last time the teams met in May, the Red Sox swept all four games between May 1-4 at Fenway Park. This weekend, the two rivals face off at the Rogers Centre stadium on Friday, with James Paxton (ERA: 3.19) on the mound for Red Sox, and Jose Berrios (ERA: 3.6) starting for Blue Jays. Toronto is the betting favorite, opening at -140 and the current line is Toronto -136. We've experienced great success in the last few months with my premium memberships, hit more than 30 parlays over the span, totaling over $30,700. This June alone, we collected an impressive $10,435! Get a month of my parlay picks now for only $50 (normally $100) and join us in the potential of another big payday.

Blue Jays Riding High After Wednesday Victory, Berrios Ready to Start on Thursday Against Red Sox

On Wednesday, the Toronto Blue Jays defeated the San Francisco Giants, rebounding after being blanked in the first game of the series. George Springer led the way with three hits and one RBI while Danny Jansen recorded two hits and an RBI. Trevor Richards logged in three scoreless innings, allowing one hit with one walk and five strikeouts while Bowden Francis earned the win with four innings of relief, allowing one run on four hits with no walks and two strikeouts. Taking the mound for the Blue Jays on Thursday is starter Jose Berrios. At 8-5 with a 3.60 ERA, 1.221 WHIP, 28 walks and 87 strikeouts over 95 innings, Berrios is enjoying success this season. His last start, against the Oakland Athletics, resulted in an impressive 7-3 victory for Toronto spanning six innings, with three runs (two earned) on six hits, two walks and eight strikeouts. Over his past three starts, Berrios is 2-1 with a 3.57 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, four walks and 17 strikeouts. With a record of 44-37, the Blue Jays stand fourth in the AL East, ten games behind the Tampa Bay Rays. Berrios has made twelve career starts against the Red Sox, sporting a 1-5, 4.15 ERA record with a 1.415 WHIP, 19 walks and 66 strikeouts over 65 innings. He has started thirty-one games at Rogers Centre, posting a 16-5, 3.34 ERA, 1.126 WHIP, 35 walks and 182 strikeouts through 183 innings.

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MLB · Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays

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Boston vs Toronto Score Prediction Boston Red Sox Predictions

Coming into Thursday's matchup between the Boston Red Sox and the Toronto Blue Jays at the Rogers Centre, the Red Sox had lost their previous six of seven games. It was a result of a two-game skid against the Miami Marlins Wednesday, where home runs from Rafael Devers (19th of the season) and Jarren Duran (RBI) weren't enough save the Red Sox from the defeat. Kaleb Ort started for the Sox but was pulled after two innings with a 1 run on 2 hits while Nick Pivetta (4-5) took the loss in relief for the Red Sox. The Red Sox now who have an abysmal record of 87-75, ranked 11th overall in power ranking and stand 14 games behind Tampa Bay for the top spot in the AL East division. Their weaknesses lie in the offense and defense, where they are the 9th best offense averaging 4.90 points per game and are #24 ranked in defense with an average of 4.80 points scored against them per game. James Paxton is on the mound for the Red Sox as he logs his ninth start and sixth at the Rogers Centre where he is 4-1 with a 3.93 ERA, a 1.136 WHIP, 18 walk and 28 strikeouts over 34.1 innings. Despite dealing with knee soreness in his last start, he is confident to make this start. In his last three starts, Paxton is 1-0 with a 2.20 ERA, a 0.67 WHIP, two walks and 18 strikeouts over 16.1 innings of work. He makes his 11th career start against the Blue Jays which comes in at a 5-3 with a 4.53 ERA, a 1.329 WHIP, 26 walks and 48 strikeouts over 55.2 innings of work against them. With a genuine interest and hard work from the Boston Red Sox the hope for a potential return to the top of the AL East rankings is an alluring thought.

Toronto Blue Jays Predictions

The Blue-jays have the edge at home, where they went 25-16 in their 41 games. Coming off being blanked in the opening game of their set with the San Francisco Giants, the Toronto Blue Jays bounced back with an impressive 12 hit performance in Wednesday night's middle game. George Springer led the way with three runs and an RBI, Danny Jansen with two RBIs, while Trevor Richards threw three scoreless innings, allowing one hit with one walk and five strikeouts. Bowden Francis earned the win with four innings of relief, allowing one run on four hits with no walks and two strikeouts. In their upcoming matchup with the Boston Red Sox, the Blue Jays will be relying on Jose Berrios to take the mound for his 17th start of the season. Berrios, who is 8-5 with a 3.60 ERA, a 1.221 WHIP, 28 Walks, and 87 strikeouts over 95 innings of work this season, is coming off a win in his last start against the Oakland Athletics, where he threw six innings, allowing three runs (two earned) on six hits with two walks and eight strikeouts. In his last three games, Berrios is 2-1 with a 3.57 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, four walks and 17 strikeouts over 17.2 innings of work. Berrios is 1-5 with a 4.15 ERA, a 1.415 WHIP, 19 walks and 66 strikeouts over 65 innings of work against the Red Sox. With a 25-16 record at home, and an overall record of 45-37, Toronto sits fourth in the AL East, 10 games behind the Rays for the top spot. Although Boston is ahead, with a power ranking of 19 and #14 offense (#14 for scoring an average of 4.53 points per game) and #11 for defense (giving up an average of 4.22 points per game) they have gone 0-3 in their last matchups against Toronto. Berrios will hope to repeat his impressive 5-1 record and 3.15 ERA, 1.182 WHIP, 18 walks, and 66 strikeouts across 70.1 innings of work at the Rogers Centre, as the Blue Jays look to take the series.

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction for Tonight's Game

Based on recent trends and stats, the Scorecaster predicts Blue Jays to win tonight's game by 2 points and the total to go over 9 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: Boston 4 to Toronto 6

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

More Picks for Boston vs Toronto

59% of SportsJaw players predict Toronto Blue Jays to win.

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Toronto will win straight-up is 58%.

Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the Toronto Blue Jays to win and the total score to be 9.

OddsShark 's prediction is Boston will win and the total will go over.

Injuries reported for Boston vs Toronto

SP Chris Sale 60-day IL (06/02), Shoulder

SP Corey Kluber 15-day IL (06/21), Shoulder

SS Adalberto Mondesi Is out indefinitely, Knee

SS Trevor Story Is out indefinitely, Elbow

RP Joely Rodriguez 15-day IL (06/01), Shoulder

SS Yu Chang 60-day IL (06/22), Wrist

C Reese McGuire 10-day IL (06/22), Oblique

2B Pablo Reyes 10-day IL (06/23), Abdominal

RP John Schreiber 60-day IL (05/16), Shoulder

SP Tanner Houck 10-day IL (06/17), Facial

RP Wyatt Mills 15-day IL (03/27), Elbow

RP Zack Kelly 60-day IL (04/13), Elbow

LF Masataka Yoshida Is "?" Friday vs Toronto Blue Jays, Forearm

1B Brandon Belt Is not in the starting lineup Friday vs Boston Red Sox, Rest

SP Hyun-Jin Ryu 60-day IL (03/31), Elbow

CF Kevin Kiermaier Is "?" Friday vs Boston Red Sox, Back

RP Zach Pop 15-day IL (05/05), Undisclosed

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as MLB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Red Sox vs Blue Jays archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Red Sox vs Blue Jays matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Boston Red Sox+124 → +125Moved
  • Moneyline · Toronto Blue Jays-140 → -138Moved
  • Spread · Boston Red Sox+1.5 (-165) → +1.5 (-160)Moved
  • Spread · Toronto Blue Jays-1.5 (+143) → -1.5 (+140)Moved
  • Total · Over9 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under9 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Boston Red Sox
87-75 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Toronto Blue Jays
79-83 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 5-4-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-06-30T22:37:13.051Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Boston Red Sox defeated Toronto Blue Jays 5-0

Boston Red Sox defeated Toronto Blue Jays 5-0 on June 30, 2023, a 5-run decision in the series. Boston Red Sox's strongest period was the 6th inning, when it outscored its opponent 3-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Boston Red Sox +1.5 (-160) spread, Boston Red Sox covered, while the 5 combined runs finished under the recorded total of 8.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • GeorgewMoneyline · Boston Red Sox +124Win
  • MickeytTotal · Under 9 (-110)Win
  • JamescashiolaTotal · Over 9 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioMoneyline · Toronto Blue Jays -136Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Under 9 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkMoneyline · Toronto Blue Jays -136Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 9 (-110)Loss
  • CoversMoneyline · Toronto Blue Jays -136Loss
  • AliencreationTotal · Over 9 (-110)Loss