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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies
Sat 4:05 PM ET
Washington Nationals logo
Washington
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M. Gore LHP
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Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: July 1, 2023 at 4:05 PM ET

Venue: Citizens Bank Park — Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

Article updated Jun 30, 6:35 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Washington Nationals face the Philadelphia Phillies in the second game of their three-game series at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday. Washington is coming off a 4-1 win

Game outlook

The Washington Nationals face the Philadelphia Phillies in the second game of their three-game series at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday. Washington is coming off a 4-1 win over the Seattle Mariners on Wednesday and have won four of their last five games, while the Phillies swept the Chicago Cubs in a three-game series. The Nationals will be without four pitchers and two positional players Israel Pineda and Victor Robles, while the Phillies are without two pitchers and positional player Rhys Hoskins. MacKenzie Gore (ERA: 3.89) will be the starting pitcher for the Nationals and Zack Wheeler (ERA: 3.76) will be starting for the Phillies, with the Phillies opening as favourites at -202.

Phillies Offensive Numbers Place 10th in MLB, Wheeler Leads Staff with 106 Strikeouts

Offensively, the Philadelphia Phillies have posted a team batting average of .257 which is 10th in Major League Baseball. They rank 11th in slugging percentage (.417) and are 16th in on-base percentage (.321). The Phillies have scored 353 runs, good for 18th in the big leagues. Kyle Schwarber is the team leader in home runs with 21, while Nick Castellanos is second with 10. Castellanos, however, has been the most productive hitter with 24 doubles, one triple, 10 home runs, and a team-high 49 RBIs; Alec Bohm is second-best on the club in RBIs, with 47. In their 80-game season thus far, Philadelphia has totaled 147 doubles, 17 triples, and 86 home runs. Currently, Philadelphia holds a team ERA of 4.15 — good for 15th in the majors — while their WHIP of 1.25 has earned them a ninth-place ranking. Philly's starting rotation has earned an impressive 34 Quality Starts, good for ninth in baseball. The pitching staff holds opposing hitters to a .242 average, which stands at 15th in the league. Taijuan Walker leads the team in victories at 9, while Zack Wheeler — the starter for Saturday's game — is the leader in strikeouts at 106 and holds a 6-4 record with a 3.76 ERA.

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MLB · Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies

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Washington vs Philadelphia Score Prediction Washington Nationals Predictions

Despite achieving a 32-48 record, the Washington Nationals have compiled some impressive individual performances across batting, pitching, and defense this season. Their starting pitching in particular has been strong with a 4.64 ERA, which is 26th in baseball, and a 1.46 WHIP. Patrick Corbin has been the leader on the mound for Washington with five victories, while Mackenzie Gore has led the Nationals in strikeouts with 104. Aside from the pitching stats, the Nationals have performed well at the plate with a team batting average of .261 (7th in MLB) and an on base percentage of .319 (18th in MLB). Lane Thomas is the leader in home runs with 14 and RBI with 43, with Jeimer Candelario a distant second with 10 homers and Joey Meneses in second for RBI with 39. Despite these impressive performances, the Nationals are still 25th in runs scored (333), 22nd in slugging percentage (.395), and 27th in power ranking. Although Washington still needs to build on these performances if they wish to achieve a winning record, it’s clear from these stats that the Nationals have the skillset needed to compete in the Major Leagues.

Philadelphia Phillies Predictions

The Philadelphia Phillies have had a mediocre season so far, of 43-37, ranking 17th in offense and 16th in defense. Their team batting average is .257, good for 10th in baseball, and the slugging percentage of .417 is 11th, while the on base percentage of .321 is 16th. In 80 games played, the Phillies have scored 353 runs which is 18th, and the team ERA of 4.15 is 15th, with the WHIP coming in at 1.25. Kyle Schwarber has led the team with 21 home runs, and Nick Castellanos follows just behind with 10, although he has been the most productive hitter with 24 doubles, one triple, 10 home runs, and a team high 49 RBI. Alec Bohm has the second-highest total, with 47. The team has also hit 147 doubles, 17 triples, and 86 home runs so far. The Phillies’ starting rotation stands at ninth in quality starts with 34, and the pitching staff is holding opposing hitters to an average of .242, which is 15th. Taijuan Walker leads the team in wins with 9, and Saturday’s starting pitcher, Zack Wheeler, takes the lead in strikeouts with 106. His season record is 6-4 with an ERA of 3.76. The Phillies’ power rating is 3, and they are 2-1 in their last 3 matchups against Washington.

Nationals vs Phillies Prediction for Today's Game

Based on recent trends and stats, the Scorecaster predicts Phillies to win today's game by 3 points and the total to go over 8.5 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: Washington 3 to Philadelphia 6

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Washington Nationals and Philadelphia Phillies, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

More Picks for Washington vs Philadelphia

50% of SportsJaw players predict Philadelphia Phillies to win.

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Philadelphia will win straight-up is 67%.

Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the Philadelphia Phillies to win and the total score to be 8.5.

OddsShark has not made a prediction yet.

Injuries reported for Washington vs Philadelphia

SP Stephen Strasburg 60-day IL (03/30), Elbow

RP Carl Edwards Jr. 15-day IL (06/21), Shoulder

CF Victor Robles 10-day IL (06/21), Back

RP Victor Arano 60-day IL (03/30), Shoulder

RP Tanner Rainey 60-day IL (03/30), Elbow

SS C.J. Abrams Is "?" Friday vs Philadelphia Phillies, Elbow

SP Cade Cavalli 60-day IL (03/30), Elbow

C Israel Pineda 10-day IL (03/27), Finger

LF Rhys Hoskins 60-day IL (03/29); is out for season, ACL

RP Seranthony Dominguez 15-day IL (06/16), Oblique

SP Noah Song 60-day IL (03/27), Back

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as MLB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#WashingtonNationals#PhiladelphiaPhillies

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Nationals vs Phillies archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Nationals vs Phillies matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Washington Nationals+178 → +180Moved
  • Moneyline · Philadelphia Phillies-202 → -208Moved
  • Spread · Washington Nationals+1.5 (-120) → +1.5 (-115)Moved
  • Spread · Philadelphia Phillies-1.5 (+100) → -1.5 (-105)Moved
  • Total · Over9 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under9 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Washington Nationals
77-85 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Philadelphia Phillies
88-74 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 2-8-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-06-30T22:35:25.035Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Washington Nationals and Philadelphia Phillies, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-06-30Washington Nationals 2 · Philadelphia Phillies 1
  • 2023-06-04Philadelphia Phillies 11 · Washington Nationals 3
  • 2023-06-03Philadelphia Phillies 4 · Washington Nationals 2
  • 2023-06-02Philadelphia Phillies 7 · Washington Nationals 8
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Philadelphia Phillies defeated Washington Nationals 19-4

Philadelphia Phillies defeated Washington Nationals 19-4 on July 1, 2023, a 15-run decision in the series. Philadelphia Phillies' strongest period was the 3rd inning, when it outscored its opponent 6-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Washington Nationals +1.5 (-115) spread, Philadelphia Phillies covered, while the 23 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 8.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • StevehMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -202Win
  • VegaspatMoneyline · Washington Nationals +178Loss
  • RcMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -202Win
  • BtMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -208Win
  • MikeVargasMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -208Win
  • CoversMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -208Win
  • JamescashiolaMoneyline · Washington Nationals +185Loss
  • MBT612426Moneyline · Washington Nationals +175Loss
  • AliencreationRunline · Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+100)Win
  • CoolioMoneyline · Washington Nationals +174Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 8.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkMoneyline · Washington Nationals +174Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 8.5 (-110)Win