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  1. Home
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  3. Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Sun 1:35 PM ET
Milwaukee Brewers logo
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Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: July 2, 2023 at 1:35 PM ET

Venue: PNC Park — Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

Article updated Jul 1, 6:23 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The rivals meet up one last time in the Steel City as the Milwaukee Brewers and the Pittsburgh Pirates face off in their series finale on Sunday, 7/2/2023. In the opening

Game outlook

The rivals meet up one last time in the Steel City as the Milwaukee Brewers and the Pittsburgh Pirates face off in their series finale on Sunday, 7/2/2023. In the opening game of the series Friday, Pittsburgh pulled off a walk-off 8-7 victory, giving them a one-game lead in the heated NL Central competition between the top four teams which are separated by only five games. The Brewers will be hoping Colin Rea (ERA: 4.57) can build on Milwaukee's momentum and even the series at PNC Park as they look to be favored against Pittsburgh's starter Rich Hill (ERA: 4.55). As the action gets underway at 1:35pm EST, the betting line currently stands with Milwaukee being the favorite opening at -110.

Pirates Continue Winning Streak with Shocking Walk-Off Victory Despite 4.5 Games Back in NL Central

The Pirates entered Saturday with a 82-80 record, putting them 4.5 games behind the Reds for the top spot in the NL Central. Despite this, the group managed to extend their winning streak to four games with a shocking walk-off victory. Andrew McCutchen and Carlos Santana lead the way offensively, with the latter providing the decisive two-run homer in the bottom of the ninth. Osvaldo Bido threw 3.1 innings, giving up four runs on four hits with one walk and no strikeouts. Relief pitcher Carmen Mlodzinski earned the win, having pitched two scoreless innings with one hit, one walk, and two strikeouts. In Saturday's game, Rich Hill takes the mound for the Pirates for his 17th start of the season. He has so far gone 7-7 with a 4.45 ERA, 1.404 WHIP, 33 walks, and 89 strikeouts across 80 innings. In his last outing against the Padres, Hill earned the win with 6 innings of work, during which he allowed four runs on nine hits with two walks and 4 strikeouts. Over the course of his last three starts, Hill has been 1-2 with a 5.40 ERA, 1.56 WHIP, 10 walks, and 13 strikeouts over 16.2 innings. Hill has faced off with the Brewers 13 times in his career, having gone 3-4 with a 3.96 ERA, 1.241 WHIP, 31 walks, and 68 strikeouts over 63.2 innings. Additionally, he is 5-6 with a 4.57 ERA, 1.299 WHIP, 26 walks, and 71 strikeouts over 84.2 innings in 15 starts at PNC Park.

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MLB · Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates

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Milwaukee Brewers Highlights

Milwaukee had the Pirates on the ropes Friday Night, leading 7-3 after six and a half innings, only to lose in the end for their second loss in the last six games. The Brewers are ranked #17 in the Power Ranking and hold a 103-59 record, leaving them 1 game behind the Reds in the NL Central. Freddy Peralta threw 5.1 innings, allowing three runs on three hits with two walks and eight strikeouts. Matt Bush (0-2) took the loss in relief as he allowed three runs on three hits with no walks or strikeouts in two-thirds of an inning. Colin Rea will be on the hill for the Brewers for the series finale. He holds a 4-4 record with a 4.57 ERA, a 1.217 WHIP, 24 walks and 57 strikeouts over 69 innings of work this season. He is 1-1 in his last three starts with a 4.86 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, five walks and nine strikeouts over 16.2 innings of work. Milwaukee is ranked #26 in offense (scoring an average of 4.04 per game) and #12 in defense (allowing an average of 4.30 points to be scored against them per game). Summary: Milwaukee had the Pirates down 7-3 Friday night, only to fall and receive their second loss in their last six games. They are currently sitting 1 game behind the Reds in the NL Central with a 43-39 record, ranked #17 in the power ranking and have a record of #26 in offense (averaging 4.04 points per game) #12 in defense (allowing an average of 4.30 points to be scored against them per game) In the Friday night game, Freddy Peralta threw 5.1 innings, allowing three runs on three hits with two walks and eight strikeouts. Matt Bush (0-2) took the loss in relief. Colin Rea will take the mound for the Brewers Sunday, with a 103-59 record, 4.57 ERA, 1.217 WHIP, 24 walks and 57 strikeouts over 69 innings of work. He is 1-1 in his last three starts with a 4.86 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, five walks and nine strikeouts over 16.2 innings of work.

Pittsburgh Pirates Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates won the opening game of this 4-game set late and boosted their win streak to four. Andrew McCutchen and Carlos Santana provided the offense, with Santana crushing a walk-off two-run homer with two outs in the bottom of the ninth to secure the win. Osvaldo Bido threw 3.1 innings and Carmen Mlodzinski earned the win in relief. The Pirates, who have a current power ranking of 28, a 39-42 overall record and rank #22 offensively (scoring an average of 4.22 per game) and #17 defensively (giving up an average of 4.60 points per game), will have Rich Hill (7-7, 4.45 ERA) taking the mound for this contest. Hill has earned one win in his past three starts, racking up a 5.40 ERA, a 1.56 WHIP, 10 walks and 13 strikeouts over 16.2 innings. He has made13 appearances and 12 starts against Brewers, sporting a 103-59 record with a 3.96 ERA, a 1.241 WHIP, 31 walks and 68 strikeouts over 63.2 innings. Hill is 5-6 with a 4.57 ERA, a 1.299 WHIP, 26 walks and 71 strikeouts over 84.2 innings in 15 career starts at PNC Park. Milwaukee only managed to go 1-2 in their last 3 games against Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh Pirates won late to take the opening game of the 4-game set and boost their win streak to four. The Pirates have a power ranking of 28, a 39-42 overall record and rank #22 for offense and #17 for defense. Rich Hill (7-7, 4.45 ERA) will take the mound for the Pirates and has 1 win in the past three starts. Milwaukee only managed to go 1-2 in their last 3 games against Pittsburgh.

Brewers vs Pirates Prediction for Today's Game

Based on recent trends and head to head stats, the Scorecaster predicts Brewers to win today's game by 1 points and the total to go under 9 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: Milwaukee 5 to Pittsburgh 4

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Milwaukee Brewers and Pittsburgh Pirates, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

More Picks for Milwaukee vs Pittsburgh

55% of SportsJaw players predict Pittsburgh Pirates to win.

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Milwaukee will win straight-up is 52%.

Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the Milwaukee Brewers to win and the total score to be 9.

OddsShark has not made a prediction yet.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as MLB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Brewers vs Pirates archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Brewers vs Pirates matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Milwaukee Brewers-110 → +104Moved
  • Moneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates-105 → -115Moved
  • Spread · Milwaukee Brewers-1.5 (+135) → +1.5 (-192)Moved
  • Spread · Pittsburgh Pirates+1.5 (-160) → -1.5 (+167)Moved
  • Total · Over9 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under9 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Milwaukee Brewers
103-59 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 4-5-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Pittsburgh Pirates
82-80 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 6-3-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-07-01T22:23:03.701Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Milwaukee Brewers and Pittsburgh Pirates, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-07-01Milwaukee Brewers 11 · Pittsburgh Pirates 8
  • 2023-06-30Milwaukee Brewers 7 · Pittsburgh Pirates 8
  • 2023-06-18Pittsburgh Pirates 2 · Milwaukee Brewers 5
  • 2023-06-17Pittsburgh Pirates 0 · Milwaukee Brewers 5
  • 2023-06-16Pittsburgh Pirates 4 · Milwaukee Brewers 5
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Milwaukee Brewers defeated Pittsburgh Pirates 6-3

Milwaukee Brewers defeated Pittsburgh Pirates 6-3 on July 2, 2023, a 3-run decision in the series. Milwaukee Brewers' strongest period was the 3rd inning, when it outscored its opponent 3-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 (-192) spread, Milwaukee Brewers covered, while the 9 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 8.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • Fisher49Moneyline · Milwaukee Brewers -105Win
  • DemarcusBryantTotal · Over 9 (-110)Push
  • DemarcusBryantMoneyline · Milwaukee Brewers -110Win
  • CoversMoneyline · Milwaukee Brewers -110Win
  • VegaspatTotal · Under 9 (-110)Push
  • AliencreationRunline · Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 (-170)Loss
  • AliencreationTotal · Under 9 (-110)Push
  • CoolioMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates -106Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Under 9 (-110)Push
  • OddssharkMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates -106Loss