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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets
Sat 7:15 PM ET
Atlanta Braves logo
Atlanta
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Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: August 12, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET

Venue: Citi Field — Queens, New York

Article updated Aug 12, 2:35 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Atlanta Braves (73-41) and the New York Mets (52-63) face off in game one of Saturday's NL East doubleheader. With the Braves having a 6-1 advantage in the season series,

Game outlook

The Atlanta Braves (73-41) and the New York Mets (52-63) face off in game one of Saturday's NL East doubleheader. With the Braves having a 6-1 advantage in the season series, Spencer Strider or Allan Winans (ERA: 4.15) will be the starting pitcher for the club and Denyi Reyes for the Mets. Atlanta is the betting favorite opening at -215 and the line hasn't moved per RL betting statistics. Additionally, the overall O/U record has been 62-49-2 for the Braves and 46-61-7 for the Mets.

Game Info

When: Saturday, 8/12/2023 @ 7:15pm EST

Where: Citi Field Stadium Braves vs Mets Betting Odds Moneyline: Braves -215 | Mets +194

Spread: Braves -1.5 (-130) | Mets +1.5 (+115)

Total: Over/Under 8 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Atlanta will win straight-up is 68%.

Atlanta Braves

The Braves are near the end of a challenging road trip, standing at 3-4 on the trek entering Friday night, with their power ranking being 12 and their record 94-68. Spencer Strider will get the nod in one of the games in the doubleheader and has a 12-4 record with a 3.94 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP in 132.1 innings pitched. In 23.2 innings pitched against the Mets this season, Strider has allowed 12 runs with a 7.23 ERA and a 74-88 record. On the offensive side, veteran catcher Sean Murphy has the best season of his career, delivering 18 homers with 61 RBIs and an .899 OPS. The Braves have an impressive average of 5.70 runs per game, placing them second. Meanwhile, the pitching has been shaky recently and has a 3.95 team ERA, placing them ninth.

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MLB · Atlanta Braves at New York Mets

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New York Mets Analysis

The New York Mets have called up Denyi Reyes from the minor leagues and he will start game one against the Braves, whom he allowed five runs against during his last Major League outing in May. Reyes has struggled in Triple-A this season, posting a 5.77 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP, however he has an impressive 3.53 ERA and 1.13 WHIP throughout his minor league career. The Mets have been having a difficult season, going 3-7 in their last ten games and going 0-3 in their last matchup with the Braves. Pete Alonso has performed well this season with 35 home-runs and an .854 OPS, as well as five RBIs and a .955 OPS against the Braves this season, adding 4 home-runs with 10 RBIs in his last five games. The Mets are ranked #19 in offense with an average of 4.36 runs per game and #18 in defense with an average of 4.59 runs given up per game, finishing with an overall record of 74-88.

Mets Find Hope in Denyi Reyes Following Struggles

They have continued to struggle to find consistency. After getting swept in Baltimore last weekend, the Mets bounced back with a series win against the Cubs at home. The franchise is still recouping from the 2019 mid-season trades, but has started to see fruits of their labor with Denyi Reyes being called up from the minor leagues to start game one. Reyes last pitched in the majors Months ago, allowing five runs. He has had a mixed season at Triple-A, accumulating a 5.77 ERA and 1.47 WHIP, but holds a strong minor league record with a 3.53 ERA and 1.13 WHIP. The Mets will look to take advantage of Reyes' talent and hope to get their season back on track with a win in this opening game.

My Prediction: Braves (-215) to win

Written by Steveh Published on 08/12/2023 Category: MLB Picks

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#AtlantaBraves#NewYorkMets

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Braves vs Mets archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Braves vs Mets matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Atlanta Braves-215 → -233Moved
  • Moneyline · New York Mets+194 → +200Moved
  • Spread · Atlanta Braves-1.5 (-130) → -1.5 (-145)Moved
  • Spread · New York Mets+1.5 (+110) → +1.5 (+125)Moved
  • Total · Over8 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under8 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Atlanta Braves
94-68 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 8-2-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
New York Mets
74-88 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-08-12T06:35:13.016Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-08-12Atlanta Braves 21 · New York Mets 3
  • 2023-08-11Atlanta Braves 7 · New York Mets 0
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Atlanta Braves defeated New York Mets 6-0

Atlanta Braves defeated New York Mets 6-0 on August 12, 2023, a 6-run decision in the series. Atlanta Braves' strongest period was the 8th inning, when it outscored its opponent 3-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-145) spread, Atlanta Braves covered, while the 6 combined runs finished under the recorded total of 8.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • JamescashiolaTotal · Under 8 (-110)Win
  • StevehMoneyline · Atlanta Braves -215Win
  • PeytoncMoneyline · Atlanta Braves -210Win
  • JoeyBergMoneyline · New York Mets +187Loss
  • MikeVargasMoneyline · Atlanta Braves -220Win
  • CoolioMoneyline · Atlanta Braves -222Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 8.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkMoneyline · Atlanta Braves -222Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 8.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoversMoneyline · Atlanta Braves -225Win