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MLB PicksFri 7:05 PM ET
CH
Chicago1
K. Hendricks RHP
versus
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
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Pirates2
M. Keller RHP
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Chicago0000000011
Pittsburgh Pirates20000000—2
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Chicago vs Pittsburgh Pirates Predictions August 25, 2023: K. Hendricks vs M. Keller

Game time: August 25, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET

Venue: PNC Park — Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

Article updated Aug 25, 2:15 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Chicago Cubs and Pittsburgh Pirates will continue their National League Central rivalry on Friday at PNC Park, in the second game of a four-game series. The Cubs come in

Game outlook

The Chicago Cubs and Pittsburgh Pirates will continue their National League Central rivalry on Friday at PNC Park, in the second game of a four-game series. The Cubs come in with four wins in the last five games, currently in second in the NL Central standings and a half game ahead of the San Francisco Giants for the wildcard spot. Meanwhile, the Pirates have gone 3-4 over the last seven games, and without the services of six pitchers and three position players, Oneil Cruz, Henry Davis and Tucupita Marcano. For the Friday game Kyle Hendricks (ERA: 4.01) will take the mound for the Cubs and Mitch Keller (ERA: 4.22) will start for the Pirates, with the Cubs the betting favorites at -115.

Game Info

When: Friday, 8/25/2023 @ 7:05pm EST

Where: PNC Park Stadium Cubs vs Pirates Betting Odds Moneyline: Cubs -115 | Pirates +101

Spread: Cubs -1.5 (+140) | Pirates +1.5 (-163)

Total: Over/Under 9 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Chicago will win straight-up is 53%.

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs are 16th in team ERA at 4.20 and 18th in WHIP at 1.28, but their offense is powering them to a 13th place ranking. They average 5.05 runs per game and have compiled 636 total runs, the fifth most in baseball. Nico Hoerner, Cody Bellinger, and Patrick Wisdom lead the way at the plate, each having hit 20 home runs, while Dansby Swanson and Christopher Morel are close behind at 19. Justin Steele has had the most success on the mound with 14 wins, 127 strikeouts, and an ERA of 2.80, while Kyle Hendricks will start Friday's game with 5-6 record and a 3.83 ERA.

MLB · Chicago at Pittsburgh Pirates

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Pittsburgh Pirates Analysis

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a current power ranking of 19, a record of 82-80, and have seen an overall decrease in total points scored and allowed. Offense: In four major hitting categories, the Pirates rank#24 or worse. Ryan Reynolds and Jack Suwinski lead with the most home runs (21 and 18, respectively) and RBI (Reynolds with 62, Suwinski with 54). The team's batting average is 26th overall with .236. Defense: Team ERA is 21st overall at 4.56 and WHIP is 22nd overall at 1.40. The pitching staff overall has 44 Quality Starts, but sits 22nd in batting average allowed (.255). Mitch Keller is the team's leader in victories (10) and strikeouts (173). The Pirates have gone 0-3 in their last three matchups against the Chicago Cubs. PALACIOS TO THE ALLEGHENY! pic.twitter.com/e8gnBDxHhf

Chicago Cubs Dominate Pittsburgh Pirates in Last Seven Meetings, Thanks to Offensive Strength led by Cody Bellinger

The Chicago Cubs have been particularly successful against the Pittsburgh Pirates in recent games. Six of their last seven games on the road have been victories, and Chicago has won the last seven meetings overall. In each of their six games this season, the Cubs have managed to be at least two runs ahead of the Pirates. Furthermore, the games have seen no less than a four-run margin of victory. This success can likely be attributed to the strength of their offense, specifically Cody Bellinger. He currently leads the team in home runs, with 20, and has the most RBI, with 67. He is joined by four teammates who have 60 or more RBIs, as well as another with 58. In comparison, the Pirates have lost 14 of their last 20 games against National League Central rivals. Their batting average of .236 is 26th in the league, while their slugging percentage is only 24th, noting a lackluster performance at the plate.

Prediction on the total: UNDER 9

Written by Jtgarcia Published on 08/25/2023 Category: MLB Picks

About the Author: Sports nut and professional bettor. I win more than I lose, follow me for winners this season in NCAAB and NBA hardwood.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

SportsJaw Chicago vs Pirates archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Crowd vs qualified handicappers

No qualifying consensus sample is available yet.

Qualified handicappers need at least 20 graded picks and a 52.5% win rate. A market needs at least three current qualified picks. Selection share is not a win probability.

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Chicago-115 → -113Moved
  • Moneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates+101 → -103Moved
  • Spread · Chicago-1.5 (+140) → -1.5 (+140)Unchanged
  • Spread · Pittsburgh Pirates+1.5 (-165) → +1.5 (-162)Moved
  • Total · Over9 (-110) → 9 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under9 (-110) → 9 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Chicago
ATS unavailable · O/U unavailable
Last 0 completed games on file
Pittsburgh Pirates
82-80 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-08-25T06:15:12.380Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-08-24Chicago 5 · Pittsburgh Pirates 4
  • 2023-06-21Chicago 8 · Pittsburgh Pirates 3
  • 2023-06-20Chicago 4 · Pittsburgh Pirates 0
  • 2023-06-19Chicago 8 · Pittsburgh Pirates 0
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Pittsburgh Pirates defeated Chicago 2-1

Pittsburgh Pirates defeated Chicago 2-1 on August 25, 2023, a 1-run decision in the series. Pittsburgh Pirates' strongest period was the 1st inning, when it outscored its opponent 2-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Chicago -1.5 (+140) spread, Pittsburgh Pirates covered, while the 3 combined runs finished under the recorded total of 9.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • JtgarciaTotal · Under 9 (-110)Win
  • ThetotalerMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates +101Win
  • AdrianMariucciMoneyline · Chicago -115Loss
  • JoeyBergMoneyline · Chicago -115Loss
  • Drew_WestcottTotal · Over 9 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioMoneyline · Chicago -113Loss
  • OddssharkMoneyline · Chicago -113Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 9 (-110)Loss
  • CoversMoneyline · Chicago -113Loss