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MLB PicksSun 1:35 PM ET
CH
Chicago10
J. Assad RHP · 2–1, 3.13 ERA
versus
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
Pittsburgh
Pirates1
B. Falter LHP · 1–7, 4.53 ERA
Final
Team123456789T
Chicago10023001310
Pittsburgh Pirates1000000001
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Chicago vs Pittsburgh Pirates Predictions August 27, 2023: Javier Assad vs Bailey Falter

Game time: August 27, 2023 at 1:35 PM ET

Venue: PNC Park — Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

Article updated Aug 26, 6:16 PM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Chicago Cubs (67-61, 64-61 RL, 65-56-4 O/U) will face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (58-71, 62-64 RL, 67-55-4 O/U) in a divisional clash on Sunday, with Javier Assad

Game outlook

The Chicago Cubs (67-61, 64-61 RL, 65-56-4 O/U) will face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (58-71, 62-64 RL, 67-55-4 O/U) in a divisional clash on Sunday, with Javier Assad (ERA: 3.13) starting for the Cubs and Bailey Falter (ERA: 4.53) for the Pirates. The Cubs lead the season series 7-1 and are the favorites at -128, with the line staying stable.

Game Info

When: Sunday, 8/27/2023 @ 1:35pm EST

Where: PNC Park Stadium Cubs vs Pirates Betting Odds Moneyline: Cubs -128 | Pirates +108

Spread: Cubs -1.5 (+133) | Pirates +1.5 (-161)

Total: Over/Under 9 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Chicago will win straight-up is 56%.

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs are sending Javier Assad to the mound on Sunday afternoon. The young right-hander is usually reliable, with a 3.13 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Nico Hoerner has been a tough out against the Pirates this season, posting six RBIs and a solid .856 OPS. The Cubs have one win in the opening two games of this series to improve to 6-4 in their last ten games and are currently 3.5 percentage points behind in the fifth spot for the NL wildcard spot. Their overall power ranking is 13 with: Offense: 5th (5.05 runs per game) Defense: 17th (allowing an average of 4.52 points to be scored against them per game) Season Record: 67-61 The hometown kid! pic.twitter.com/I1ZvmGLSil

MLB · Chicago at Pittsburgh Pirates

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21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Pittsburgh Pirates Analysis

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a power ranking of 19, and an overall record of 82-80. On offense, they rank 24th with an average of 4.20 runs scored per game, and rank 22nd on defense with an average of 4.86 points allowed per game. Bailey Falter is set to make the start for the series, who has a 4.53 ERA and 1.42 WHIP with 1-7 record in 59.2 innings pitched this season. Falter is also 9-23 with a 1.038 OPS against the Pirates this season. Connor Joe has been a pleasant surprise for Pittsburgh, producing a 1.001 OPS this month and a .795 OPS on the season with 33 RBIs. The Pirates have a 5-5 record in their last ten games, and are two games below .500 at home. The Cubs went 1-2 in their last three matchups against the Pirates. PALACIOS TO THE ALLEGHENY! pic.twitter.com/e8gnBDxHhf

Cubs Travel to Pittsburgh to Take on Pirates in Saturday Matchup: Junior Assad vs. Bailey Falter

After a difficult road trip, the Chicago Cubs travel to Pittsburgh to take on the Pirates. The Pirates have gone 4-3 in their last seven games as they prepare for the Saturday matchup. Cubs starter Junior Assad has had difficulty in his four career innings against the Pirates, squandering four runs. Assad has a 3.13 ERA but his FIP is notably higher at 4.67. Pirates starter Bailey Falter, who was acquired from the Phillies, is looking good, giving up only one run in three of his last four starts. He has a 3.26 ERA this month and the Pirates have won each of his last three games.

Prediction on the total: UNDER 9

Written by Steveh Published on 08/26/2023 Category: MLB Picks

About the Author: Steve Hirshfeld has been involved in the Las Vegas Sports Investment Industry for more than 20 years and consistently beats the book.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

SportsJaw Chicago vs Pirates archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Crowd vs qualified handicappers

No qualifying consensus sample is available yet.

Qualified handicappers need at least 20 graded picks and a 52.5% win rate. A market needs at least three current qualified picks. Selection share is not a win probability.

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Chicago-128 → -127Moved
  • Moneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates+108 → +116Moved
  • Spread · Chicago-1.5 (+133) → -1.5 (+125)Moved
  • Spread · Pittsburgh Pirates+1.5 (-161) → +1.5 (-145)Moved
  • Total · Over9 (-110) → 9 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under9 (-110) → 9 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Chicago
ATS unavailable · O/U unavailable
Last 0 completed games on file
Pittsburgh Pirates
82-80 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-08-26T22:16:19.164Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-08-26Chicago 10 · Pittsburgh Pirates 6
  • 2023-08-25Chicago 1 · Pittsburgh Pirates 2
  • 2023-08-24Chicago 5 · Pittsburgh Pirates 4
  • 2023-06-21Chicago 8 · Pittsburgh Pirates 3
  • 2023-06-20Chicago 4 · Pittsburgh Pirates 0
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Chicago defeated Pittsburgh Pirates 10-1

Chicago defeated Pittsburgh Pirates 10-1 on August 27, 2023, a 9-run decision in the series. Chicago's strongest period was the 5th inning, when it outscored its opponent 3-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Chicago -1.5 (+125) spread, Chicago covered, while the 11 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 9.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • StevehTotal · Under 9 (-110)Loss
  • PurplebloodMoneyline · Chicago -128Win
  • DawhizMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates +108Loss
  • JaredkuntzMoneyline · Chicago +108Win
  • VegaspatTotal · Under 9 (-110)Loss
  • ThetotalerTotal · Under 9 (-110)Loss
  • MackintoshMoneyline · Chicago +108Win
  • MauriceJonesMoneyline · Chicago -128Win
  • PremierPicksTotal · Over 9 (-110)Win
  • FlyigglesflyMoneyline · Chicago +105Win
  • JtphamMoneyline · Chicago -125Win
  • StevedTotal · Over 9 (-110)Win
  • StevedMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates +105Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 9 (-110)Win
  • AdrianMariucciMoneyline · Chicago -116Win
  • CoolioMoneyline · Chicago -118Win
  • Oddsshark
Moneyline · Chicago -118
Win