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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers
Thu 7:15 PM ET
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
Pittsburgh
Pirates1
M. Keller RHP
versus
Milwaukee Brewers logo
Milwaukee
Brewers14
A. Houser RHP
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: August 3, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET

Venue: American Family Field — Milwaukee, Wisconsin

Article updated Aug 2, 6:16 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

Pirates Look to Upset Brewers on Thursday Night at American Family

Game outlook

Pirates Look to Upset Brewers on Thursday Night at American Family Field

Game Info

When: Thursday, 8/3/2023 @ 7:15pm EST

Where: American Family Field Stadium Pirates vs Brewers Odds & Probabilities Moneyline: Pirates +108 | Brewers -118

Spread: Pirates +1.5 (-189) | Brewers -1.5 (+166)

Total: Over/Under 8.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Milwaukee will win straight-up is 54%.

In an interdivisional rivalry, the Pirates and Brewers open a weekend set on Thursday night. For the series, the Pirates will send out Mitch Keller (ERA: 3.97) to face Brewers' Adrian Houser (ERA: 4.43), with Milwaukee being the early betting favorite at -118. Pittsburgh won the last series between the two sides in late June/early July, but the Brewers have overall won five of the six meetings this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates went into the Wednesday game having defeated the Tigers on Tuesday night. The eight hits by Pittsburgh, with Alika Williams having two, along with Llover Peguero's third homer of the season and Johan Oviedo earning the win by throwing seven innings and allowing one run on six hits with two walks and five strikeouts, propelled the team to victory. David Bednar worked a 1-2-3 ninth, striking out two for his 22nd save of the year. Mitch Keller is the pitcher of record for Wednesday, and is 9-7 with a 3.97 ERA, a 1.212 WHIP, 40 walks, and 145 strikeouts over 133.2 innings of work. Looking at his last three starts, Keller has an 0-3 record with an 8.64 ERA, a 1.86 WHIP, 6 walks, and 16 strikeouts over 16.2 innings of work. Keller is 0-3 with a 4.62 ERA, a 1.382 WHIP, 8 walks, and 28 strikeouts over 25.1 innings pitched against the Brewers. He is 0-2 with a 3.86 ERA, a 1.102 WHIP, 5 walks, and 24 strikeouts in three career starts at American Family Field. The Pirates overall ranking is 29 and they are 24 in offense (averaging 4.14 points a game), 21 in defense (allowing 4.78 points a game scored against them), and 48-59 this season. The Pirates went into Wednesday's matchup with the Tigers after the team achieved eight hits and a home run, with Johan Oviedo earning the win by throwing seven innings and allowing one run on six hits with two walks and five strikeouts, and David Bednar closing with two strikeouts for his 22nd save of the year. Mitch Keller, the pitcher of record for Wednesday, is 9-7 with a 3.97 ERA, 1.212 WHIP, 40 walks, and 145 strikeouts over 133.2 innings of work. In three starts against the Brewers, Keller is 0-2 with a 3.86 ERA, 1.102 WHIP, 5 walks, and 24 strikeouts over 16.1 innings. The Pirates ranking is 29 and they are 24 in offense (averaging 4.14 points a game), 21 in defense (allowing 4

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Milwaukee Brewers Analysis

The Milwaukee Brewers are #2 in the NL Central standing and hold the final wild card spot in the National League playoff picture. In their win over the Nationals in Washington DC Tuesday night, six hits were recorded with Brice Turang notching two runs and two RBIs. The Brewers were 4 out of 8 with runners in scoring position, led by Freddy Peralta who earned the win after throwing six innings and allowing three runs on six hits. Recently, Adrian Houser made his 15th appearance and 13th start as he entered the contest 3-3 with a 4.43 ERA, 1.567 WHIP, and 52 strikeouts over 67 innings of work this season. He has a 3-3 record with a 4.05 ERA, 1.331 WHIP, and 35 strikeouts against the Pirates in his career. The Brewers have an overall record of 103-59, power ranking of 9, and are #23 in offensive (scoring an average of 4.17 per game) and #12 in defense (giving up an average of 4.30 per game). Pittsburgh has won two out of the last three matchups against the Brewers.

Brewers Eye Top Spot in NL Central as Adrian Houser Takes the Mound vs. Pirates

The Brewers enter their Wednesday matchup with the Pirates at 58-50, half a game behind the Reds for the top spot in the NL Central, and hold the final wild card spot in the National League playoff picture. Prior to Tuesday night’s win in the nation’s capital, Milwaukee had dropped four straight games. Freddy Peralta (7-8) earned the win, throwing six innings and allowing three runs on six hits with two walks and seven strikeouts. Brice Turang led the offense with two runs and two RBI on two hits, while the Brewers were 4-for-8 with runners in scoring position. Devin Williams pitched a 1-2-3 final inning to earn his 27th save of the season. Adrian Houser takes the mound for his 15th appearance and 13th start of the season for Milwaukee. He is 3-3 with a 4.43 ERA, a 1.567 WHIP, 23 walks and 52 strikeouts over 67 innings. Houser’s most recent outing was a 10-7 loss against Atlanta and saw him throw four innings, allowing six runs on eight hits with two walks and three strikeouts. Since then, he is 0-1 with a 6.89 ERA, a 1.66 WHIP, six walks and 18 strikeouts over 15.2 innings. Facing the Pirates for the 14th time in his career, Houser is 3-3 with a 4.05 ERA, a 1.331 WHIP, 23 walks and 35 strikeouts over 53.1 innings. Altogether, Houser is 9-15 with a 3.55 ERA, a 1.311 WHIP, 98 walks and 203 strikeouts in 60 appearances, 42 of which were starts, at American Family Field.

My Prediction: Pirates +1.5 (-189) to cover

Looking for more picks on tonight's game game? Make sure to checkout the guaranteed picks below. Written by Bjenkins Published on 08/02/2023 Category: MLB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#PittsburghPirates#MilwaukeeBrewers

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Pirates vs Brewers archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Pirates vs Brewers matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates+108 → +108Unchanged
  • Moneyline · Milwaukee Brewers-118 → -125Moved
  • Spread · Pittsburgh Pirates+1.5 (-189) → +1.5 (-185)Moved
  • Spread · Milwaukee Brewers-1.5 (+166) → -1.5 (+160)Moved
  • Total · Over8.5 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under8.5 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Pittsburgh Pirates
82-80 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Milwaukee Brewers
103-59 matchup record · 2-8-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-08-02T22:16:08.110Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-07-02Milwaukee Brewers 6 · Pittsburgh Pirates 3
  • 2023-07-01Milwaukee Brewers 11 · Pittsburgh Pirates 8
  • 2023-06-30Milwaukee Brewers 7 · Pittsburgh Pirates 8
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Milwaukee Brewers defeated Pittsburgh Pirates 14-1

Milwaukee Brewers defeated Pittsburgh Pirates 14-1 on August 3, 2023, a 13-run decision in the series. Milwaukee Brewers' strongest period was the 2nd inning, when it outscored its opponent 3-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 (-185) spread, Milwaukee Brewers covered, while the 15 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 8.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • DrpaulMoneyline · Milwaukee Brewers -118Win
  • AdrianMariucciMoneyline · Milwaukee Brewers -118Win
  • JeffjacksonMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates +108Loss
  • JohnnywalkerTotal · Over 8.5 (-110)Win
  • JoeyBergMoneyline · Milwaukee Brewers -118Win
  • MickeytTotal · Over 8.5 (-110)Win
  • IroncladlocksMoneyline · Milwaukee Brewers -130Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Under 8.5 (-110)Loss
  • BooksworstnightmareMoneyline · Milwaukee Brewers -126Win
  • CoolioMoneyline · Milwaukee Brewers -129Win
  • CoolioTotal · Under 8.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkMoneyline · Milwaukee Brewers -129Win
  • CoversMoneyline · Milwaukee Brewers -126Win