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Chicago vs Colorado Rockies Predictions September 11, 2023: J. Wicks vs K. Freeland

Game time: September 11, 2023 at 8:40 PM ET

Venue: Coors Field — Denver, Colorado

Article updated Sep 10, 6:35 PM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Chicago Cubs and Colorado Rockies will face off on Monday at 8:40 p.m. EST in Coors Field. Chicago is fighting for a division crown and seeking to secure a playoff spot,

Game outlook

The Chicago Cubs and Colorado Rockies will face off on Monday at 8:40 p.m. EST in Coors Field. Chicago is fighting for a division crown and seeking to secure a playoff spot, being three games behind the Brewers for the division and two games ahead of the Diamondbacks for the second wild-card spot. Meanwhile, Colorado holds the worst National League record at 51-91 and have lost their last four games and eight out of their last ten. Jordan Wicks (ERA: 2.16) will start for the Cubs and Kyle Freeland (ERA: 5.09) for the Rockies, with Chicago being the favorite opening at -166 and the current line at -172. The total is set at 11.5 runs.

Game Info

When: Monday, 9/11/2023 @ 8:40pm EST

Where: Coors Field Stadium Cubs vs Rockies Betting Odds Moneyline: Cubs -172 | Rockies +154

Spread: Cubs -1.5 (-120) | Rockies +1.5 (+100)

Total: Over/Under 11.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Chicago will win straight-up is 63%.

Chicago Cubs

Chicago defeated Arizona 5-2 in their most recent contest, with Christopher Morel, Cody Bellinger and Dansby Swanson each hitting home runs, and Swanson having a pair of RBIs. Kyle Hendricks was the starting pitcher and went 5.2 innings, giving up two earned runs with four strikeouts and one walk. Cody Bellinger leads the Cubs in homers and RBIs with 25 and 89, and also has the highest slugging percentage, OBP, and OPS for the team (.551, .361, .912, respectively). Nico Hoerner has the most steals for the Cubs with 38. Justin Steele has the lowest ERA (2.49) and most strikeouts (159) for the Cubs. Mark Leiter is the top pitcher in the bullpen with 4 saves, a 3.13 ERA, and 76 strikeouts. The Cubs acquired Jose Cuevas and Jeimer Candelario while trading away Adrian Sampson, Manuel Rodriguez, and Nelson Velazquez. Jordan Wicks has a 2.16 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and a 3-0 record in his first three starts in the big leagues. The Cubs' season record is 77-67 and they rank 7th in offense and 13th in defense, scoring and allowing an average of 5.03 and 4.37 points respectively. Seven players, including Marcus Stroman, are currently on the injury report and are expected to return in September.

MLB · Chicago at Colorado Rockies

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Colorado Rockies Analysis

The Colorado Rockies lost their most recent game to the San Francisco Giants 6-3. Hunter Goodman, Sean Bouchard, and Elehuris Montero each had 1 RBI and 3 hits respectively. Ryan McMahon leads the team with 22 home runs, 69 RBI, and 77 runs scored. Nolan Jones (.280 BA, .361 OBP, .517 SLG, .878 OPS) and Brenton Doyle (17 SB) are also contributing. Kyle Freeland leads Colorado's rotation with a 5.09 ERA and 146.2 innings pitched. Justin Lawrence has 10 saves in 16 opportunities, while Freeland has the most strikeouts with 91. The Rockies traded away 4 players and acquired 5 at the deadline. On the injury list, there are nine players, 3 of whom are projected to return in September. Colorado has a power ranking of 24, with offense at #19, defense at #30 and an overall record of 58-104. The last 3 matchups between Colorado and Chicago have resulted in a 2-1 finish.

Cubs Facing Weak Opponent in Key Matchup; All Signs Point to Victory

The Cubs enter this matchup as the clear favorites, showing strong momentum after sweeping the Giants—their main competitor for a playoff spot. Chicago has a record better than .500 in away games this season, and pitcher Wicks has yet to have a bad start this year. On the other hand, the Rockies are 23-63 against teams better than .500 this season, indicating a lack of momentum in their standing. All signs point to the Cubs as the more capable team, making them the optimal pick on the money line.

Written by Georgew Published on 09/11/2023 Category: MLB Picks

About the Author: I employ a variety of handicapping techniques and fundamentals to spot value in betting odds. These methods are tried and true and my records back it up.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

SportsJaw Chicago vs Rockies archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Crowd vs qualified handicappers

No qualifying consensus sample is available yet.

Qualified handicappers need at least 20 graded picks and a 52.5% win rate. A market needs at least three current qualified picks. Selection share is not a win probability.

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Chicago-166 → -182Moved
  • Moneyline · Colorado Rockies+140 → +160Moved
  • Spread · Chicago-1.5 (-112) → -1.5 (-128)Moved
  • Spread · Colorado Rockies+1.5 (-108) → +1.5 (+110)Moved
  • Total · Over11.5 (-110) → 11.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under11.5 (-110) → 11.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Chicago
ATS unavailable · O/U unavailable
Last 0 completed games on file
Colorado Rockies
58-104 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-09-10T22:35:27.940Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Chicago defeated Arizona 5-2 in their most recent contest, with Christopher Morel, Cody Bellinger and Dansby Swanson each hitting home runs, and Swanson having a pair of RBIs. Kyle Hendricks was the starting pitcher and went 5.2 innings, giving up two earned runs with four strikeouts and one walk. Cody Bellinger leads the Cubs in homers and RBIs with 25 and 89, and also has the highest slugging percentage, OBP, and OPS for the team (.551, .361, .912, respectively). Nico Hoerner has the most steals for the Cubs with 38. Justin Steele has the lowest ERA (2.49) and most strikeouts (159) for the Cubs. Mark Leiter is the top pitcher in the bullpen with 4 saves, a 3.13 ERA, and 76 strikeouts. The Cubs acquired Jose Cuevas and Jeimer Candelario while trading away Adrian Sampson, Manuel Rodriguez, and Nelson Velazquez. Jordan Wicks has a 2.16 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and a 3-0 record in his first three starts in the big leagues. The Cubs' season record is 77-67 and they rank 7th in offense and 13th in defense, scoring and allowing an average of 5.03 and 4.37 points respectively. Seven players, including Marcus Stroman, are currently on the injury report and are expected to return in September.

The Colorado Rockies lost their most recent game to the San Francisco Giants 6-3. Hunter Goodman, Sean Bouchard, and Elehuris Montero each had 1 RBI and 3 hits respectively. Ryan McMahon leads the team with 22 home runs, 69 RBI, and 77 runs scored. Nolan Jones (.280 BA, .361 OBP, .517 SLG, .878 OPS) and Brenton Doyle (17 SB) are also contributing. Kyle Freeland leads Colorado's rotation with a 5.09 ERA and 146.2 innings pitched. Justin Lawrence has 10 saves in 16 opportunities, while Freeland has the most strikeouts with 91. The Rockies traded away 4 players and acquired 5 at the deadline. On the injury list, there are nine players, 3 of whom are projected to return in September. Colorado has a power ranking of 24, with offense at #19, defense at #30 and an overall record of 58-104. The last 3 matchups between Colorado and Chicago have resulted in a 2-1 finish.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Chicago defeated Colorado Rockies 5-4

Chicago defeated Colorado Rockies 5-4 on September 11, 2023, a 1-run decision in the series. Chicago's strongest period was the 9th inning, when it outscored its opponent 2-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Chicago -1.5 (-128) spread, Colorado Rockies covered, while the 9 combined runs finished under the recorded total of 11.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • MoneymouthTotal · Over 11.5 (-110)Loss
  • MtgoldsteinMoneyline · Colorado Rockies +140Loss
  • MickeytMoneyline · Chicago -166Win
  • StevedMoneyline · Colorado Rockies +140Loss
  • MookiebetsMoneyline · Colorado Rockies +140Loss
  • RoycejacobsMoneyline · Chicago -166Win
  • DawhizTotal · Under 11.5 (-110)Win
  • HitmanhartMoneyline · Chicago -178Win
  • BtMoneyline · Chicago -180Win
  • Drew_WestcottMoneyline · Chicago -175Win
  • FlyigglesflyMoneyline · Chicago -175Win
  • IroncladlocksMoneyline · Colorado Rockies +154Loss
Irishblue
Moneyline · Chicago +154
Win
  • CoolioMoneyline · Colorado Rockies +157Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Under 11.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkMoneyline · Colorado Rockies +157Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Under 11.5 (-110)Win
  • CoversMoneyline · Chicago -176Win