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  1. Home
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  3. Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets
Sat 4:10 PM ET
Philadelphia Phillies logo
Philadelphia
Phillies3
R. Suarez LHP
versus
New York Mets logo
New York
Mets6
S. Manaea LHP
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Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: September 21, 2024 at 4:10 PM ET

Venue: Citi Field — Queens, New York

Article updated Sep 20, 10:28 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Philadelphia Phillies will face off against the New York Mets at Citi Field on Saturday at 4:10pmET. Despite a loss in the opener, the Phillies, with a record of 88-74

Game outlook

The Philadelphia Phillies will face off against the New York Mets at Citi Field on Saturday at 4:10pmET. Despite a loss in the opener, the Phillies, with a record of 91-62 and a six-game lead over the Mets in the NL East, are on the verge of clinching a playoff spot. Ranger Suarez (ERA: 3.26) will start for the Phillies, while Sean Manaea (ERA: 3.26) will take the mound for the Mets. New York opens as the betting favorite at -110 with no movement in the line.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Phillies -105 | Mets -110

Spread: Phillies +1.5 (-217) | Mets -1.5 (+185)

Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that New York will win straight-up is 52%.

Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia's recent loss to Milwaukee, who has already secured a playoff spot, has not deterred them from their goal of clinching their own playoff berth and potentially their first division title since 2011. Despite a rough start by Taijaun Walker, the offense led by Trae Turner and Brandon Marsh put up a strong performance, showing the team's potential for success. Lefty Ranger Suarez is projected to start on Saturday, with an impressive record against the Mets. Philadelphia boasts one of the best rotations in baseball and a strong offensive lineup, ranking 5th in offense and 7th in defense, with an overall record of 88-74. They are poised for a deep playoff run and have the talent to compete for a World Series title.

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MLB · Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets

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New York Mets Analysis

The New York Mets are currently in a good position in the chase for one of the three NL wild card spots, tied with Arizona for the second spot, two games behind San Diego. They have been performing well recently, winning four straight games, including a sweep of Washington, and setting a club record of double-digit runs in three consecutive games. Despite star SS Francisco Lindor being out with a back injury, players like Pete Alonso, Brandon Nimmo, Mark Vientos, and Francisco Alvarez have been contributing offensively. With Luis Severino adding a quality start and lefty Sean Manaea expected to pitch next, the Mets have a strong pitching staff and are performing well both offensively and defensively. Their power ranking is 3, ranking 7th in offense and 13th in defense, with an overall record of 85-68. In their recent matchups, Philadelphia went 1-2 against New York.

Phillies poised for victory with strong starting pitcher against struggling Rangers

Both teams are vying for a victory, with Philadelphia prioritizing securing a playoff spot and division championship this weekend in order to provide key players with necessary rest as the season progresses. Despite this shared goal, the Phillies appear to have the advantage due to the strength of their starting pitcher, Ranger Suarez, who is renowned as one of the top left-handed pitchers in the National League and has demonstrated impressive performance on the road. In contrast, the Rangers' starting pitcher, Manaea, has struggled in previous matchups against the Phillies, allowing multiple runs and home runs. This disparity in pitching performance suggests that the Phillies are better positioned to secure the win in the upcoming game.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#PhiladelphiaPhillies#NewYorkMets

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Phillies vs Mets archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Phillies vs Mets matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Philadelphia Phillies-105 → -102Moved
  • Moneyline · New York Mets-110 → -110Unchanged
  • Spread · Philadelphia Phillies+1.5 (-217) → +1.5 (-210)Moved
  • Spread · New York Mets-1.5 (+185) → -1.5 (+177)Moved
  • Total · Over7.5 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under7.5 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Philadelphia Phillies
88-74 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-4-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
New York Mets
74-88 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 7-2-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-09-21T02:28:58.269Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The New York Mets are currently in a good position in the chase for one of the three NL wild card spots, tied with Arizona for the second spot, two games behind San Diego. They have been performing well recently, winning four straight games, including a sweep of Washington, and setting a club record of double-digit runs in three consecutive games. Despite star SS Francisco Lindor being out with a back injury, players like Pete Alonso, Brandon Nimmo, Mark Vientos, and Francisco Alvarez have been contributing offensively. With Luis Severino adding a quality start and lefty Sean Manaea expected to pitch next, the Mets have a strong pitching staff and are performing well both offensively and defensively. Their power ranking is 3, ranking 7th in offense and 13th in defense, with an overall record of 85-68. In their recent matchups, Philadelphia went 1-2 against New York.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-09-20Philadelphia Phillies 12 · New York Mets 2
  • 2024-09-19Philadelphia Phillies 6 · New York Mets 10
  • 2024-09-15New York Mets 1 · Philadelphia Phillies 2
  • 2024-09-14New York Mets 4 · Philadelphia Phillies 6
  • 2024-09-13New York Mets 11 · Philadelphia Phillies 3
Final result

Matchup pick recap

New York Mets defeated Philadelphia Phillies 6-3

New York Mets defeated Philadelphia Phillies 6-3 on September 21, 2024, a 3-run decision in the series. New York Mets' strongest period was the 7th inning, when it outscored its opponent 3-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 (-210) spread, New York Mets covered, while the 9 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 7.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • AliencreationMoneyline · New York Mets -106Win
  • CoversMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -105Loss
  • CoolioMoneyline · New York Mets -118Win
  • OddssharkMoneyline · New York Mets -118Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 7.5 (-110)Win