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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres
Mon 6:40 PM ET
Philadelphia Phillies logo
Philadelphia
Phillies9
T. Walker RHP
versus
San Diego Padres logo
San Diego
Padres7
R. Hill LHP
Final
Team123456789T
Philadelphia Phillies3320100009
San Diego Padres100301

Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: September 4, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET

Venue: Petco Park — San Diego, California

Article updated Sep 4, 4:14 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Philadelphia Phillies, atop the National League Wild Card standings with a month to go in the season, will travel to San Diego on Monday to face the Padres. On the mound,

Game outlook

The Philadelphia Phillies, atop the National League Wild Card standings with a month to go in the season, will travel to San Diego on Monday to face the Padres. On the mound, Taijuan Walker (14-5, 4.05 ERA) will be the Phillies' starter while Rich Hill (7-13, 5.26 ERA) is pitching for the Padres. Phillies open up as the betting favorite at -110 and the game, set to begin at 6:40 PM EST, could provide them with a much-needed boost.

Game Info

When: Monday, 9/4/2023 @ 6:40pm EST

Where: Petco Park Stadium Phillies vs Padres Betting Odds Moneyline: Phillies -110 | Padres -105

Spread: Phillies -1.5 (+143) | Padres +1.5 (-170)

Total: Over/Under 9 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Philadelphia will win straight-up is 52%.

Philadelphia Phillies

The Philadelphia Phillies arrive in San Diego for a rematch from last year's NLCS, between two teams going in different directions for the 2021 season. The Phillies, looking like a team that will earn a wildcard spot, dropped the first two games of the weekend series against NL Central-leading Milwaukee, before successfully averting a sweep with a 4-2 win thanks to home runs from Alec Bohm and J.T. Realmuto. On Monday, the Phillies will hand the ball to team leader in wins, Taijuan Walker (14-5, 4.05 ERA). In terms of team performance, Philadelphia has a power ranking of 3, is ranked 9 in offense (averaging 4.89 runs per game) and 14 in defense (allowing 4.38 points per game), with a season record of 88-74. The Phillies arrive in San Diego for a rematch from last year's NLCS between two teams going in different directions. The Phillies are expected to earn a wildcard spot, while the Padres look to next season. The Phillies averted a sweep against the NL Central-leading Brewers with a 4-2 win on Sunday. Monday's game will be pitched by team-leader in wins Taijuan Walker (14-5, 4.05 ERA). Philadelphia has a power ranking of 3, is 9 in offense (4.89 runs/game), 14 in defense (allowing 4.38 points/game) and a season record of 88-74. ARE YOU KIDDING TREA #RingTheBell pic.twitter.com/bdfSDTJ19g

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MLB · Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres

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21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

San Diego Padres Analysis

The Padres, who came into this season with high expectations after reaching the National League Championship Series last season and signing all-star shortstop Xander Bogaerts in the offseason, have played below expectations and sit at 91-71. San Diego recently swept the NL West rival Giants in a series over the weekend, with the help of stellar performances from starting pitchers Blake Snell and Seth Lugo, and offensive contributions from Manny Machado and Juan Soto. The Padres have a power ranking of 17 and are #16 for offense (scoring an average of 4.50 per game) #4 for defense (giving up an average of 4.08 points per game) Veteran lefty Rich Hill will start game one for the Padres, currently 0-3 since joining San Diego prior to the trade deadline. Key injuries: Jake Cronenworth and Jin Man Choi are out. Philadelphia goes into the series 0-3 in their last 3 matchups against San Diego. Did someone say "more runs"? pic.twitter.com/mWGX7wsI8r

Phillies Predicted to Triumph Over Padres in Interdivisional Battle

Walker has been having a great season with the Phillies in 2023, with 14 wins and only five losses. He will likely have the upper hand over Hill, who has displayed poor performance since joining the Padres, sporting an ERA of 8.50 and close to 5.5 this season. Nick Castellanos, Trea Turner, and J.T. Realmuto will also all benefit from this matchup since Hill typically pitches to contact. The Padres have an average hitting record at home this year and rank 18th in MLB for runs scored per game, whereas the Phillies have the 9th highest at-bat rate for runs. Based on the Phillies' 3 wins and 1 loss in the four prior matchups against the Padres, it would likely be a wise monetary decision to take the Phillies with the money-line.

My Prediction: Padres +1.5 (-170) to cover

Written by Mrmister Published on 09/04/2023 Category: MLB Picks

About the Author: I've been betting on sports my whole life. I actually placed 4th in the Golden Nugget contest in Vegas in 2005, and placed 3rd in the Reserve Casino Contest in Vegas in 2002. Still enjoy handicapping and glad I found this platform to share my picks.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#PhiladelphiaPhillies#SanDiegoPadres

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Phillies vs Padres archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Phillies vs Padres matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Philadelphia Phillies-110 → +105Moved
  • Moneyline · San Diego Padres-105 → -118Moved
  • Spread · Philadelphia Phillies-1.5 (+143) → +1.5 (-190)Moved
  • Spread · San Diego Padres+1.5 (-170) → -1.5 (+165)Moved
  • Total · Over9 (-110) → 9.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under9 (-110) → 9.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Philadelphia Phillies
88-74 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
San Diego Padres
91-71 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 6-3-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-09-04T08:14:29.383Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The Padres, who came into this season with high expectations after reaching the National League Championship Series last season and signing all-star shortstop Xander Bogaerts in the offseason, have played below expectations and sit at 91-71. San Diego recently swept the NL West rival Giants in a series over the weekend, with the help of stellar performances from starting pitchers Blake Snell and Seth Lugo, and offensive contributions from Manny Machado and Juan Soto. The Padres have a power ranking of 17 and are #16 for offense (scoring an average of 4.50 per game) #4 for defense (giving up an average of 4.08 points per game) Veteran lefty Rich Hill will start game one for the Padres, currently 0-3 since joining San Diego prior to the trade deadline. Key injuries: Jake Cronenworth and Jin Man Choi are out. Philadelphia goes into the series 0-3 in their last 3 matchups against San Diego. Did someone say "more runs"? pic.twitter.com/mWGX7wsI8r

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Philadelphia Phillies defeated San Diego Padres 9-7

Philadelphia Phillies defeated San Diego Padres 9-7 on September 4, 2023, a 2-run decision in the series. Philadelphia Phillies' strongest period was the 2nd inning, when it outscored its opponent 3-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 (-190) spread, Philadelphia Phillies covered, while the 16 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 9.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • MackintoshMoneyline · San Diego Padres -103Loss
  • RcMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -110Win
  • DrpaulMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -110Win
  • JoeyBergMoneyline · San Diego Padres -115Loss
  • CoolioMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies +108Win
  • OddssharkMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies +108Win