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  1. Home
  2. NBA Picks
  3. Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic
Sat 7:00 PM ET
Miami Heat logo
Miami
Heat114
0-4
versus
Orlando Magic logo
Orlando
Magic126
1-2
Final/OT
Team12345T
Miami Heat243123306114
Orlando Magic3424232718126
NBA · Miami Heat at Orlando Magic

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Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: March 11, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET

Venue: Amway Center — Orlando, FL

Article updated Mar 10, 2:14 PM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Miami Heat are traveling to play the Orlando Magic at the Amway Center stadium on Saturday, 3/11/2023 @ 7:00pm EST. Miami is the betting favorite opening at -2.5 and the

Game outlook

The Miami Heat are traveling to play the Orlando Magic at the Amway Center stadium on Saturday, 3/11/2023 @ 7:00pm EST. Miami is the betting favorite opening at -2.5 and the line hasn't moved.

Heat vs Magic Prediction for Tonight's Game

Based on recent trends and stats, the Scorecaster predicts Heat to win tonight's game by 1 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the Orlando Magic to cover the 3 point spread and the total to go over 221.75 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: Miami 119 to Orlando 118

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Miami Heat and Orlando Magic, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

50% of SportsJaw predicts Orlando Magic to cover the spread.

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Miami will win straight-up is 59%.

From the lines set by Sportsbooks, they predict the score to be MIA 113.375, ORL 108.375.

OddsShark predicts Orlando will win, cover the spread, and the total will go over.

split down the middle on Covers.com

Miami Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 21, Miami is ranked #30 in offense (scoring an average of 108.33 per game), #2 in defense (allowing an average of 109.06 points to be scored against them per game) and are 36-32 (24-41-3 ATS) this season.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Offensively, the Heat hit an average of 45.28% of their field goals (ranked #30) and 82.83% of their free throws (ranked #2) and makes an average of 33.58% of their three pointers ranked #28 in the NBA). They average 41.00 rebounds per game (ranked # 27) and average 23.42 offensive assists and 12.81 turnovers per game (ranked # 23 and 7 respectively).

Defensively speaking, Miami allows an average of 47.89% field goals (ranked #21) and 77.99% free throws (ranked #14 in the NBA) The Heat allow an average of 36.61% of the three pointers (ranked #20) and averages 42.00 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 42.00) Finally, the Heat average 25.03 defensive assists and 15.34 turnovers per game (ranked # 12 and 3 respectively).

Orlando Key Betting Stats

Orlando Magic has a power ranking of 18 and are #27 for offense (scoring an average of 111.34 per game), #17 for defense (giving up an average of 114.30 points per game) and 27-40 (35-29-3 ATS) overall. Miami went 1-2 (2-1 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Orlando.

For offense, the Magic hit an average of 47.05% of their field goals (ranked #18) and 78.39% of their free throws (ranked #16) and makes an average of 34.76% of their three pointers (ranked #23 in the NBA). They average 42.69 rebounds per game (ranked # 20) and average 22.72 offensive assists and 14.33 turnovers per game (ranked # 27) and 24 respectively).

On defense, Orlando allows an average of 47.81% field goals (ranked #19) and 78.93% free throws (ranked #23 in the NBA) The Magic allow an average of 35.06% of the three pointers (ranked #7) and averages 42.03 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 42.03) Finally, the Magic average 25.88 defensive assists and 14.07 turnovers per game (ranked # 22 and 10 respectively).

Betting Summary

Miami has a slight advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the Orlando Magic to cover the 3 point spread and the total to go over 221.75 points.

For the best predictions available, make sure to checkout the best bets made by our certified NBA experts.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NBA Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#MiamiHeat#OrlandoMagic

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Heat vs Magic archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Heat vs Magic matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Miami Heat-150 → -142Moved
  • Moneyline · Orlando Magic+117 → +122Moved
  • Spread · Miami Heat-2.5 (-110) → -2.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Spread · Orlando Magic+2.5 (-110) → +2.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · OverN/A (-110) → 221.75 (-110)Moved
  • Total · UnderN/A (-110) → 221.75 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Miami Heat
0-4 matchup record · 3-6-1 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Orlando Magic
1-2 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-03-10T19:14:10.974Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Miami Heat and Orlando Magic, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-02-11Miami Heat 107 · Orlando Magic 103
  • 2023-01-27Orlando Magic 105 · Miami Heat 110
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Orlando Magic defeated Miami Heat 126-114

Orlando Magic defeated Miami Heat 126-114 on March 11, 2023, a 12-point decision in the series. Orlando Magic's strongest period was the overtime, when it outscored its opponent 18-6. Against SportsJaw's recorded Miami Heat -2.5 (-110) spread, Orlando Magic covered, while the 240 combined points finished over the recorded total of 221.75.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • JtphamSpread · Orlando Magic +2.5 (-110)Win
  • Josh720Spread · Orlando Magic +2.5 (-110)Win
  • DocthizzMoneyline · Orlando Magic +110Win
  • DocthizzSpread · Orlando Magic +1.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · Orlando Magic +2.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · Orlando Magic +2.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 221 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · Miami Heat -2.5 (-110)Loss