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  1. Home
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  3. Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons
Tue 7:00 PM ET
Miami Heat logo
Miami
Heat118
0-4
versus
Detroit Pistons logo
Detroit
Pistons105
3-0
Final
Team1234T
Miami Heat31282138118
Detroit Pistons27252726105
NBA · Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons

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Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: April 4, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET

Venue: Little Caesars Arena — Detroit, MI

Article updated Apr 3, 6:14 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Miami Heat are traveling to play the Detroit Pistons at the Little Caesars Arena stadium on Tuesday, 4/4/2023 @ 7:00pm EST. Miami is the betting favorite opening at

Game outlook

The Miami Heat are traveling to play the Detroit Pistons at the Little Caesars Arena stadium on Tuesday, 4/4/2023 @ 7:00pm EST. Miami is the betting favorite opening at -11.25 and the current line is Miami -14.

Heat vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight's Game

Based on recent trends and stats, the Scorecaster predicts Heat to win tonight's game by 10 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the Detroit Pistons to cover the 14 point spread and the total to go over 216.5 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: Miami 116 to Detroit 106

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Miami Heat and Detroit Pistons, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

The SportsJaw community predicts Miami Heat to cover the spread (54%)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Miami will win straight-up is 91%.

From the lines set by Sportsbooks, they predict the score to be MIA 122.25, DET 94.25.

OddsShark predicts Miami will win, detroit will cover, and the total will go over.

split down the middle on Covers.com

Miami Key Betting Stats

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

With a power ranking of 26, Miami is ranked #30 in offense (scoring an average of 108.96 per game), #2 in defense (allowing an average of 109.91 points to be scored against them per game) and are 41-37 (28-47-3 ATS) this season.

Offensively, the Heat hit an average of 45.72% of their field goals (ranked #27) and 83.28% of their free throws (ranked #2) and makes an average of 34.10% of their three pointers ranked #27 in the NBA). They average 40.54 rebounds per game (ranked # 28) and average 23.51 offensive assists and 12.77 turnovers per game (ranked # 25 and 9 respectively).

Defensively speaking, Miami allows an average of 48.25% field goals (ranked #22) and 78.09% free throws (ranked #17 in the NBA) The Heat allow an average of 36.99% of the three pointers (ranked #22) and averages 41.95 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 41.95) Finally, the Heat average 25.65 defensive assists and 15.03 turnovers per game (ranked # 16 and 3 respectively).

Detroit Key Betting Stats

Detroit Pistons has a power ranking of 29 and are #28 for offense (scoring an average of 110.74 per game), #27 for defense (giving up an average of 118.60 points per game) and 16-62 (32-43-3 ATS) overall. Miami went 1-2 (2-1 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Detroit.

For offense, the Pistons hit an average of 45.47% of their field goals (ranked #30) and 76.78% of their free throws (ranked #21) and makes an average of 35.08% of their three pointers (ranked #22 in the NBA). They average 42.49 rebounds per game (ranked # 20) and average 22.99 offensive assists and 14.39 turnovers per game (ranked # 27) and 25 respectively).

On defense, Detroit allows an average of 48.85% field goals (ranked #26) and 77.91% free throws (ranked #13 in the NBA) The Pistons allow an average of 35.97% of the three pointers (ranked #15) and averages 45.01 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 45.01) Finally, the Pistons average 25.58 defensive assists and 13.05 turnovers per game (ranked # 14 and 18 respectively).

Betting Summary

Miami has advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the Detroit Pistons to cover the 14 point spread and the total to go over 216.5 points.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NBA Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#MiamiHeat#DetroitPistons

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Heat vs Pistons archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Heat vs Pistons matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Miami Heat-5,313 → -1,000Moved
  • Moneyline · Detroit Pistons+365 → +663Moved
  • Spread · Miami Heat-11.25 (-110) → -14 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Detroit Pistons+11.25 (-110) → +14 (-110)Moved
  • Total · OverN/A (-110) → 216.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · UnderN/A (-110) → 216.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Miami Heat
0-4 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Detroit Pistons
3-0 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-04-03T10:14:11.844Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Miami Heat and Detroit Pistons, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-03-19Miami Heat 112 · Detroit Pistons 100
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Miami Heat defeated Detroit Pistons 118-105

Miami Heat defeated Detroit Pistons 118-105 on April 4, 2023, a 13-point decision in the series. Miami Heat's strongest period was the 4th quarter, when it outscored its opponent 38-26. Against SportsJaw's recorded Miami Heat -14 (-110) spread, Detroit Pistons covered, while the 223 combined points finished over the recorded total of 216.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • CoolioSpread · Detroit Pistons +13.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 218 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · Detroit Pistons +13.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 218 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · Detroit Pistons +13.5 (-110)Win