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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Florida St. Seminoles vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Sat 2:15 PM ET
Florida St. Seminoles logo
Florida St.
Seminoles67
18-15
versus
Notre Dame Fighting Irish logo
Notre Dame
Fighting Irish58
13-18
Final
Team12T
Florida St. Seminoles333467
Notre Dame Fighting Irish292958
NCAAB · Florida St. Seminoles at Notre Dame Fighting Irish

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Florida St. Seminoles vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: January 13, 2024 at 2:15 PM ET

Venue: Purcell Pavilion — South Bend, IN

Article updated Jan 13, 6:20 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

On Saturday afternoon, the ACC action will feature a game between the Florida State Seminoles and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Florida State, with a record of 9-6 and 3-1

Game outlook

On Saturday afternoon, the ACC action will feature a game between the Florida State Seminoles and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Florida State, with a record of 9-6 and 3-1 within the ACC, recently achieved a strong home win against Wake Forest with a score of 87-82. They were considered underdogs with a 2.5-point gap. On the other hand, Notre Dame, currently holding a record of 7-9 and 2-3 within the ACC, secured an overtime win on the road against Georgia Tech, with a final score of 75-68 as 6-point road underdogs. In their previous season's encounters, Florida State emerged victorious in both matchups. The game will take place at 2:15 PM EST at the Purcell Pavilion in South Bend, Indiana. The CW Network will broadcast the match. Florida State has been designated as a 1-point road favorite for this upcoming matchup and the betting line has remained unchanged, opening at -1.5 for Florida State.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Seminoles -125 | Fighting Irish +105

Spread: Seminoles -1.5 (-110) | Fighting Irish +1.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 135 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Florida St. will win straight-up is 56%.

Florida St. Seminoles

The Florida State Seminoles currently have a three-game winning streak in conference games, all of which have been played at home. These victories came against Georgia Tech, Virginia Tech, and Wake Forest, teams that are not considered strong contenders for the ACC title. The team's only conference loss occurred earlier in the season against #17 North Carolina on the road. In their most recent game against Wake Forest, forward Jamir Watkins led the team with 19 points and 9 assists. The Seminoles' leading scorer, rebounder, and assist leader is their 6'7 junior forward, Jamie Watkins. He averages 13.1 points, 6.1 rebounds, and 3.4 assists per game, showcasing his versatility as a forward. While Watkins consistently contributes to the scoring, he has yet to have a 20-point game this season. The team's second-leading scorer is 6'5 senior wing Darin Green Jr., who has made 40 three-pointers on 41.7% shooting. In the previous game against Wake Forest, Green scored 17 points and grabbed 5 rebounds. Primo Spears, a 6'3 junior guard who was Georgetown's leading scorer last season, is now with the Seminoles and adds an average of 10.4 points per game. The team's top post players are 6'10 sophomore Cam Corhen, who contributes 8.9 points and 3.6 rebounds per game, and 6'11 sophomore Baba Miller, who averages 8.0 points and 5.0 rebounds per game. According to their current ranking on KenPom, Florida State is ranked 99th overall. They rank 131st in offensive efficiency and 72nd in defensive efficiency. The team plays at a fast pace, ranking 48th in tempo nationwide. In terms of their statistical performance, the Seminoles have an average offensive output of 77.33 points per game, ranking them 119th in offense. They make 44.13% of their field goals (ranked 216th), 68.73% of their free throws (ranked 264th), and 33.88% of their three-pointers (ranked 184th). They average 35.60 rebounds per game (ranked 214th), 13.40 offensive assists, and 12.40 turnovers per game (ranked 189th and 195

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Notre Dame Fighting Irish Analysis

Notre Dame's offense has struggled this season, ranking 300th in offensive efficiency. They have had low-scoring games, such as only scoring 49 against Miami and 45 against the Citadel. Despite this, they have had some success in conference play, with upset wins over Virginia and Georgia Tech. Currently, they have a 2-3 conference record and have the opportunity to improve it with a home win over the Seminoles. Their leading scorer is freshman guard Markus Burton, averaging 15.9 points per game. He is also the team's leader in assists with 4.1 per game. Burton is effective at getting to the free-throw line, leading the team with 58 free throw attempts. He has scored double figures in his last nine games, with a high of 21 points against Marist. J.R. Konieczny, a 6'7 junior guard, is their second leading scorer, averaging 9.4 points per game. They also have a top shooter in freshman Braeden Shrewsberry, who has made 30 three-pointers but is only shooting 31.9%. Their top interior player is sophomore forward Tae Davis, contributing 8.3 points and 5.8 rebounds per game. Notre Dame is ranked 151st overall according to KenPom, with a ranking of 300th in offensive efficiency and 51st in defensive efficiency. They have a slow offensive pace, ranking 323rd in the nation. There are no reported injuries for the team. In terms of statistics, Notre Dame ranks 353rd in offense, scoring an average of 63.31 points per game, and 50th in defense, allowing an average of 65.13 points per game. They have a field goal percentage of 40.09% (ranked 338th), free throw percentage of 73.12% (ranked 112th), and three-point percentage of 28.87% (ranked 336th). They average 37.38 rebounds per game (ranked 136th), 9.94 offensive assists, and 13.56 turnovers per game (ranked 352nd and 293rd respectively). On defense, they allow a field goal percentage of 40.56% (ranked 64th), free throw percentage of 72.76% (ranked 270th), and three-point percentage

Florida State Favored to Win and Cover the Spread Against Notre Dame

Florida State is the preferred choice in this matchup, given their advantageous position of only laying 1-point. It is advised not to focus on the moneyline, as the possibility of an exact one-point victory by FSU is unlikely. A key factor favoring Florida State is Notre Dame's struggle to score consistently, evidenced by their mere 45 points against the Citadel. There are no valid excuses for this subpar performance, as all of their top scorers were present in that game. Comparatively, Florida State maintains a scoring average of 74.1 points per game, significantly surpassing Notre Dame's 65.1 points per game. This discrepancy is evidently reflected in the spread, yet Florida State could possibly deserve greater favoritism. Furthermore, FSU enters the game with momentum, having achieved three consecutive victories. Notre Dame's scoring difficulties, combined with FSU's effective perimeter defense and presence at the rim, contribute to an attractive prospect for the road team in this conference matchup. With the aforementioned factors in mind, it is advisable to select Florida State to both secure the win and cover the spread.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Seminoles vs Fighting Irish archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Seminoles vs Fighting Irish matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Florida St. Seminoles-125 → -125Unchanged
  • Moneyline · Notre Dame Fighting Irish+105 → +105Unchanged
  • Spread · Florida St. Seminoles-1.5 (-110) → -1.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Spread · Notre Dame Fighting Irish+1.5 (-110) → +1.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Over135 (-110) → 135.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under135 (-110) → 135.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Florida St. Seminoles
18-15 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
13-18 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-01-13T11:20:14.814Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Notre Dame's offense has struggled this season, ranking 300th in offensive efficiency. They have had low-scoring games, such as only scoring 49 against Miami and 45 against the Citadel. Despite this, they have had some success in conference play, with upset wins over Virginia and Georgia Tech. Currently, they have a 2-3 conference record and have the opportunity to improve it with a home win over the Seminoles. Their leading scorer is freshman guard Markus Burton, averaging 15.9 points per game. He is also the team's leader in assists with 4.1 per game. Burton is effective at getting to the free-throw line, leading the team with 58 free throw attempts. He has scored double figures in his last nine games, with a high of 21 points against Marist. J.R. Konieczny, a 6'7 junior guard, is their second leading scorer, averaging 9.4 points per game. They also have a top shooter in freshman Braeden Shrewsberry, who has made 30 three-pointers but is only shooting 31.9%. Their top interior player is sophomore forward Tae Davis, contributing 8.3 points and 5.8 rebounds per game. Notre Dame is ranked 151st overall according to KenPom, with a ranking of 300th in offensive efficiency and 51st in defensive efficiency. They have a slow offensive pace, ranking 323rd in the nation. There are no reported injuries for the team. In terms of statistics, Notre Dame ranks 353rd in offense, scoring an average of 63.31 points per game, and 50th in defense, allowing an average of 65.13 points per game. They have a field goal percentage of 40.09% (ranked 338th), free throw percentage of 73.12% (ranked 112th), and three-point percentage of 28.87% (ranked 336th). They average 37.38 rebounds per game (ranked 136th), 9.94 offensive assists, and 13.56 turnovers per game (ranked 352nd and 293rd respectively). On defense, they allow a field goal percentage of 40.56% (ranked 64th), free throw percentage of 72.76% (ranked 270th), and three-point percentage

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-01-17Florida St. Seminoles 84 · Notre Dame Fighting Irish 71
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Florida St. Seminoles defeated Notre Dame Fighting Irish 67-58

Florida St. Seminoles defeated Notre Dame Fighting Irish 67-58 on January 13, 2024, a 9-point decision in the series. Florida St. Seminoles' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 34-29. Against SportsJaw's recorded Florida St. Seminoles -1.5 (-110) spread, Florida St. Seminoles covered, while the 125 combined points finished under the recorded total of 135.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • CoversSpread · Florida St. Seminoles -1.5 (-110)Win