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UT Rio Grande Valley73
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UT Rio Grande Valley334073
Texas-Arlington Mavericks434891
NCAAB · UT Rio Grande Valley at Texas-Arlington Mavericks

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UT Rio Grande Valley vs Texas-Arlington Mavericks Predictions January 18, 2024

Game time: January 18, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET

Venue: College Park Center — Arlington, TX

Article updated Jan 18, 6:23 AM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

In a matchup between two struggling teams in the West Coast Conference, the San Diego Toreros and the Portland Pilots are set to face off on Thursday night. San Diego holds a

Game outlook

In a matchup between two struggling teams in the West Coast Conference, the San Diego Toreros and the Portland Pilots are set to face off on Thursday night. San Diego holds a record of 10-9 while Portland is 7-11. History favors the Pilots, as they have won their past five games against the Toreros, dating back to 2022. The game will take place at Chiles Center at 10:30 p.m. EDT. The opening betting line favors Texas-Arlington at -10.5, and it remains unchanged. It remains to be seen whether the Pilots will continue their winning streak or if the Toreros will manage to turn things around.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: +425 | Mavericks -590

Spread: +10.5 (-110) | Mavericks -10.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 157.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Texas-Arlington will win straight-up is 86%.

UT Rio Grande Valley

San Diego recently suffered a fourth consecutive loss after a promising start against Pepperdine. Despite being considered one of the weaker teams in the WCC, San Diego has showcased a solid defense, allowing an average of 75.0 points per game and limiting opponents to a 31.9% three-point shooting success rate. They also maintain an even rebounding margin, although they do allow a high number of free throw attempts (21.3 per game) and have a negative turnover margin (-1.6). In their recent matches, the team has struggled defensively, giving up at least 80 points each game and allowing an average of 87.0 points per game. Offensively, the Toreros have been inconsistent throughout the season, with an average of 14.5 turnovers per game leading to a scoring average of 72.5. Despite shooting 43.5% from the field and displaying strong three-point efficiency (35.3%), their offensive performance has not been enough to compete against their WCC rivals. UT Rio Grande Valley holds a power ranking of 211, with their offense ranked at 173, averaging 75.20 points per game. However, defensively they struggle, allowing an average of 80.00 points per game and ranking at 346. They currently have a win-loss record of 6-10 (7-7 ATS). Offensively, the Vaqueros have a shooting percentage of 43.21% from the field, 68.84% from free throws, and 28.16% from three-point range, ranking at 261, 264, and 344 respectively. They average 35.07 rebounds per game, with 13.67 offensive assists and 15.00 turnovers per game, ranking at 167 and 343 respectively. Defensively, UT Rio Grande Valley allows opponents to shoot 46.17% from the field, 74.34% from free throws, and 35.44% from three-point range, ranking at 322, 325, and 304 respectively. They average 39.73 defensive rebounds per game and have 16.07 defensive assists and 16.07 turnovers per game, ranking at 349 and 19 respectively. Too tough @WayneMckinney23 #GoToreros pic.twitter.com/Q3a6ejzmBq

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Texas-Arlington Mavericks Analysis

The Portland Pilots have had a rough stretch of games, with three of their last five resulting in losses where they allowed more than 90 points. Their defense has been a weakness, as they have allowed 79.0 points per game, the worst in the conference. Opponents also have a high shooting percentage against them. On offense, the Pilots have been led by senior guard Tyler Robertson, averaging 72.8 points per game. However, they struggle with offensive rebounding and turnovers. The team has been held under 70 points in three of their last four games. The Mavericks of Texas-Arlington have a power ranking of 281 and have an offense ranked at #221, averaging 73.19 points per game. Their defense is ranked #255, giving up an average of 74.38 points per game. They have a record of 8-9 overall. In terms of shooting, the Mavericks have a field goal percentage of 42.86%, a free throw percentage of 70.21%, and a three-point percentage of 34.22%. They also average 38.00 rebounds per game. On defense, they allow a field goal percentage of 43.10% and a free throw percentage of 71.81%. They struggle to defend the three-pointer, allowing a percentage of 38.24%. The Mavericks also average 34.00 defensive rebounds per game. They average 14.75 defensive assists and 12.44 turnovers per game.

San Diego Toreros Look to Break Losing Streak and Secure Conference Win as Road Underdogs

San Diego has been eagerly awaiting a conference win, and this upcoming match will provide the perfect opportunity to secure it. Despite a previous slip-up against Pepperdine, the team is determined to emerge victorious this time around. Notably, San Diego boasts a defense that surpasses all others in this game, highlighting their exceptional capabilities on that front. Furthermore, their offense has been performing well, consistently demonstrating an easier time scoring as of late. Additionally, it is high time for the Toreros to overcome their five-game losing streak against the Pilots. Considering the team's superior standing on paper, this particular match presents the best chance for San Diego to prevail. With these factors in mind, it is reasonable to expect the Toreros to defy expectations and secure a win as road underdogs on Thursday night.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

SportsJaw UT Rio Grande Valley vs Mavericks archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Crowd vs qualified handicappers

No qualifying consensus sample is available yet.

Qualified handicappers need at least 20 graded picks and a 52.5% win rate. A market needs at least three current qualified picks. Selection share is not a win probability.

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · UT Rio Grande Valley+410 → +445Moved
  • Moneyline · Texas-Arlington Mavericks-585 → -575Moved
  • Spread · UT Rio Grande Valley+10.5 (-110) → +10.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Spread · Texas-Arlington Mavericks-10.5 (-110) → -10.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Over156.5 (-110) → 157.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under156.5 (-110) → 157.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

UT Rio Grande Valley
ATS unavailable · O/U unavailable
Last 0 completed games on file
Texas-Arlington Mavericks
18-14 matchup record · 8-2-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-01-18T11:23:04.186Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-11-25Texas State 73 · Texas-Arlington Mavericks 66
  • 2023-02-25Utah Tech 69 · Texas-Arlington Mavericks 71
  • 2023-02-09Texas-Arlington Mavericks 64 · UT Rio Grande Valley 58
  • 2023-01-25California Baptist 74 · Texas-Arlington Mavericks 66
  • 2023-01-19UT Rio Grande Valley 73 · Texas-Arlington Mavericks 85
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Texas-Arlington Mavericks defeated UT Rio Grande Valley 91-73

Texas-Arlington Mavericks defeated UT Rio Grande Valley 91-73 on January 18, 2024, a 18-point decision in the series. Texas-Arlington Mavericks' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 43-33. Against SportsJaw's recorded UT Rio Grande Valley +10.5 (-110) spread, Texas-Arlington Mavericks covered, while the 164 combined points finished over the recorded total of 157.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • OddssharkTotal · Over 157.5 (-110)Win
  • TweiskoffTotal · Under 157.5 (-110)Loss