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NCAAB PicksThu 10:00 PM ET
Pepperdine Waves logo
Pepperdine
Waves41
9-23
versus
ST
St. Marys71
Final
Team12T
Pepperdine Waves202141
St. Marys353671
NCAAB · Pepperdine Waves at St. Marys

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Pepperdine Waves vs St. Marys Predictions January 2, 2025

Game time: January 2, 2025 at 10:00 PM ET

Venue: University Credit Union Pavilion — Moraga, CA

Article updated Jan 2, 2:18 PM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

On January 2, 2025, at 10:00 PM ET, the Pepperdine Waves (6-9) will face the Saint Mary's Gaels (11-3) at University Credit Union Pavilion. This West Coast Conference matchup

Game outlook

On January 2, 2025, at 10:00 PM ET, the Pepperdine Waves (6-9) will face the Saint Mary's Gaels (11-3) at University Credit Union Pavilion. This West Coast Conference matchup features two teams with differing records this season. Saint Mary's has been dominant in recent meetings with Pepperdine, winning 32 of their last 41 games. They are the favorite in this upcoming game, with the opening line at -15.5 and the current line at St. Mary's -16.5.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Waves +1,150 | -2,918

Spread: Waves +16.5 (-110) | -16.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 142.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that St. Marys will win straight-up is 97%.

Pepperdine Waves

Pepperdine's basketball team has faced challenges this season, currently ranking at 193rd in the KenPom ratings with a struggling defense at 194th and offense at 200th. They have a strength of schedule rating of 160th and have secured wins over Western Illinois, New Mexico State, Grambling, Northern Arizona, and UC Davis. The team's leading scorer is Stefan Todorovic, averaging 18.5 points per game, with Moe Odom as the second top scorer with 12.9 ppg. Their offensive statistics show they hit 46.17% of field goals, 73.50% of free throws, and 34.63% of three-pointers. Defensively, they allow an average of 42.72% of field goals, 75.19% of free throws, and 31.86% of three-pointers. The team averages 37.40 rebounds per game, 16.93 offensive assists, and 12.13 defensive assists per game. With a power ranking of 51, Pepperdine's performance this season stands at 6-9 (8-6 ATS), showcasing areas for improvement in both offense and defense.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

St. Marys Analysis

The Saint Mary's men's basketball team has had a successful season so far, currently ranked 48th in the KenPom ratings. They have impressive offensive and defensive ratings, with notable victories over USC, Akron, Nebraska, and Utah. Their losses to Arizona State, Boise State, and Utah State were close games totaling a 13-point difference. In their most recent game against Pacific, the Gaels secured a 70-60 win, with senior Luke Barrett leading the team with 20 points and Paulius Murauskas grabbing 13 rebounds. Marciulionis leads the team in scoring and assists, followed by Murauska in scoring and rebounds, and Barrett in points and rebounds. It is important to note that although Saint Mary's has a power ranking of 101 and impressive defensive stats, they have struggled offensively and have lost to teams like Pepperdine in recent matchups. To make informed betting decisions, consider the team's offensive and defensive statistics and the performance of their key players.

Saint Mary's Dominance Against Pepperdine Tested as Spread Favors Underdog

Saint Mary's has been successful in their recent matchups against Pepperdine, winning the last four games by a significant margin of at least 24 points. Despite this, I am inclined to support Pepperdine in this upcoming game. Saint Mary's track record against the spread this season stands at 3-10, indicating potential weaknesses in their ability to cover the spread. Conversely, Pepperdine has shown strong performance in their recent games, boasting a 5-1 record against the spread. After a close loss to Gonzaga in their last game, Pepperdine is expected to bounce back and keep this upcoming game within a 13-point margin.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

SportsJaw Waves vs St. Marys archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Crowd vs qualified handicappers

No qualifying consensus sample is available yet.

Qualified handicappers need at least 20 graded picks and a 52.5% win rate. A market needs at least three current qualified picks. Selection share is not a win probability.

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Pepperdine Waves+850 → +1,125Moved
  • Moneyline · St. Marys-1,525 → -2,918Moved
  • Spread · Pepperdine Waves+15.5 (-110) → +17 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · St. Marys-15.5 (-110) → -17 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over142.5 (-110) → 141.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under142.5 (-110) → 141.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Pepperdine Waves
9-23 matchup record · 5-4-1 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
St. Marys
ATS unavailable · O/U unavailable
Last 0 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2025-01-02T19:18:54.702Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-02-29St. Marys 83 · Pepperdine Waves 57
  • 2024-02-15Pepperdine Waves 59 · St. Marys 103
  • 2023-01-19St. Mary's 73 · Pepperdine Waves 44
Final result

Matchup pick recap

St. Marys defeated Pepperdine Waves 71-41

St. Marys defeated Pepperdine Waves 71-41 on January 2, 2025, a 30-point decision in the series. St. Marys' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 35-20. Against SportsJaw's recorded Pepperdine Waves +17 (-110) spread, St. Marys covered, while the 112 combined points finished under the recorded total of 141.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • JaredkuntzSpread · Pepperdine Waves +16.5 (-110)Loss