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NCAAB PicksSat 5:15 PM ET
Arkansas St. Red Wolves logo
Arkansas St.
Red Wolves79
20-12
versus
TE
Texas State72
Final
Team12T
Arkansas St. Red Wolves433679
Texas State363672
NCAAB · Arkansas St. Red Wolves at Texas State

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Arkansas St. Red Wolves vs Texas State Predictions January 20, 2024

Game time: January 20, 2024 at 5:15 PM ET

Venue: Strahan Arena at the University Events Center — San Marcos, TX

Article updated Jan 20, 6:36 AM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Arkansas St. Red Wolves are on the road playing the Texas State at the Strahan Coliseum stadium on Saturday, 1/20/2024 @ 5:15pm EST. Arkansas St. is the betting favorite

Game outlook

The Arkansas St. Red Wolves are on the road playing the Texas State at the Strahan Coliseum stadium on Saturday, 1/20/2024 @ 5:15pm EST. Arkansas St. is the betting favorite opening at -1 and the current line is Arkansas St. -2.

Red Wolves vs Bobcats Prediction for Today's Game

Based on recent trends and head to head stats, the Scorecaster predicts Red Wolves to win today's game by 8 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the Arkansas St. Red Wolves to cover the 2 point spread and the total to go under 145.5 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: Arkansas St. 76 to Texas State 68

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Arkansas St. Red Wolves and Texas State, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

53% of SportsJaw users predict Arkansas St. Red Wolves to cover the spread.

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Arkansas St. will win straight-up is 57%.

Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the score to be ARKST 74.75, TXST 70.75.

OddsShark 's prediction is Arkansas State will win, cover the spread, and the total will go over.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

split down the middle on Covers.com

Arkansas St. Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 107, Arkansas St. is ranked #71 in offense (scoring an average of 79.12 per game), #340 in defense (allowing an average of 79.29 points to be scored against them per game) and are 7-11 (9-8-1 ATS) this season.

Offensively, the Red Wolves hit an average of 44.29% of their field goals (ranked #211) and 71.01% of their free throws (ranked #190) and makes an average of 35.12% of their three pointers ranked #121 in the NCAAB). They average 37.47 rebounds per game (ranked # 124) and average 15.41 offensive assists and 12.47 turnovers per game (ranked # 71 and 207 respectively).

Defensively speaking, Arkansas St. allows an average of 46.03% field goals (ranked #323) and 74.57% free throws (ranked #329 in the NCAAB) The Red Wolves allow an average of 32.99% of the three pointers (ranked #173) and averages 36.06 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 36.06) Finally, the Red Wolves average 12.06 defensive assists and 9.71 turnovers per game (ranked # 115 and 349 respectively).

Texas State Key Betting Stats

Texas State has a power ranking of 186 and are #284 for offense (scoring an average of 70.12 per game), #147 for defense (giving up an average of 70.35 points per game) and 7-11 (7-9 ATS) overall. Arkansas St. went 2-1 (1-1-1 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Texas State.

For offense, the Bobcats hit an average of 44.52% of their field goals (ranked #202) and 65.80% of their free throws (ranked #328) and makes an average of 32.95% of their three pointers (ranked #221 in the NCAAB). They average 36.88 rebounds per game (ranked # 150) and average 12.94 offensive assists and 13.29 turnovers per game (ranked # 219) and 280 respectively).

On defense, Texas State allows an average of 43.56% field goals (ranked #201) and 71.27% free throws (ranked #197 in the NCAAB) The Bobcats allow an average of 29.87% of the three pointers (ranked #45) and averages 34.24 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 34.24) Finally, the Bobcats average 12.12 defensive assists and 12.12 turnovers per game (ranked # 124 and 218 respectively).

Betting Summary

Texas State has a slight advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the Arkansas St. Red Wolves to cover the 2 point spread and the total to go under 145.5 points.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

SportsJaw Red Wolves vs Texas State archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Crowd vs qualified handicappers

No qualifying consensus sample is available yet.

Qualified handicappers need at least 20 graded picks and a 52.5% win rate. A market needs at least three current qualified picks. Selection share is not a win probability.

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Arkansas St. Red Wolves-118 → -130Moved
  • Moneyline · Texas State-102 → +110Moved
  • Spread · Arkansas St. Red Wolves-1 (-110) → -2 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Texas State+1 (-110) → +2 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over145 (-110) → 145.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under145 (-110) → 145.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Arkansas St. Red Wolves
20-12 matchup record · 6-3-1 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Texas State
ATS unavailable · O/U unavailable
Last 0 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-01-20T11:36:21.847Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Arkansas St. Red Wolves and Texas State, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-01-11Texas State 82 · Arkansas St. Red Wolves 85
  • 2023-11-25Arkansas St. Red Wolves 75 · UT Rio Grande Valley 58
  • 2023-02-09Arkansas St. Red Wolves 62 · Texas State 66
  • 2023-01-12Texas State 61 · Arkansas St. Red Wolves 58
  • 2022-02-17Arkansas St. Red Wolves 67 · Texas State 84
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Arkansas St. Red Wolves defeated Texas State 79-72

Arkansas St. Red Wolves defeated Texas State 79-72 on January 20, 2024, a 7-point decision in the series. Arkansas St. Red Wolves' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 43-36. Against SportsJaw's recorded Arkansas St. Red Wolves -2 (-110) spread, Arkansas St. Red Wolves covered, while the 151 combined points finished over the recorded total of 145.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • MaddogSpread · Arkansas St. Red Wolves -1 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · Arkansas St. Red Wolves -1.75 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Under 146.25 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · Arkansas St. Red Wolves -1.75 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 146.25 (-110)Win