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Texas State vs Ark.-Little Rock Trojans Predictions November 6, 2023

Game time: November 6, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET

Venue: Jack Stephens Center — Little Rock, AR

Article updated Nov 5, 5:35 PM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Little Rock, a former Sun Belt member, and Texas State, a current Sun Belt member, will go head to head in a match up at Strahan Arena in San Marcos, Texas on Monday night at

Game outlook

Little Rock, a former Sun Belt member, and Texas State, a current Sun Belt member, will go head to head in a match up at Strahan Arena in San Marcos, Texas on Monday night at 8 pm EST. Texas State is the betting favorite, opening at -1 and the line hasn't moved. Both teams have strong records in their respective conferences, with Little Rock holding 10-21 SU, 16-12-1 ATS, and Texas State having 16-19 SU, 9-18-1 ATS.

Game Info

When: Monday, 11/6/2023 @ 8:00pm EST

Where: Jack Stephens Center Stadium Bobcats vs Trojans Betting Odds Moneyline: +100 | Trojans +105

Spread: -1 (-110) | Trojans +1 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 140.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Texas State will win straight-up is 56%.

Texas State

Darrell Walker, a former standout college player and longtime NBA player for defense, struggled in the first season for Little Rock as they went 6-12 in their new Ohio Valley Conference. Guard D.J. Smith left for Bowling Green leaving two returning starters, DeAntonio Gordon and Jordan Jefferson. Their biggest newcomer, Khalen "KK" Robinson, transferred from Texas A&M and Arkansas. Little Rock is currently ranked 351st in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Offensively, they average 44.3% shooting and 32.6% shooting from 3-point line. Texas State has a power ranking of 66 and is ranked 319 in offense, 73 in defense, 0-0 overall with an average of 44.24% field goals, 72.86% free throws, and 30.74% 3-point shots. Defensively, they average 44.47% field goals, 71.35% free throws, 36.12% 3-point shots. They average 30.80 defensive rebounds, 10.66 defensive assists, and 12.20 turnovers per game.

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Ark.-Little Rock Trojans Analysis

Texas State struggled last season, finishing 6-12 in the Sun Belt Conference and 11th in the conference tournament. They return three starters and six rotation players, however they must replace Mason Harrell who had averaged 15.9 points per game. Their top returning player is Tyrel Morgan who averaged 8.8 points and 6.1 rebounds last season. They bolstered their squad with Dontae Horne Juco Guard and Chris Nix, a Tennessee-Martin transfer. Their power ranking is 291 with 82nd offense (75.60 PPG), 353rd defense (78.90 PPG) and have a 0-0 record in last matchups against Ark.-Little Rock Trojans. On offense, the Trojans average 44.39% field goals, 73.57% free throws, 32.60% three pointers, 35.93 rebounds, 14.87 offensive assists, 13.47 turnovers and on defense, they average 47.21% field goals, 66.31% free throws, 38.55% three pointers, 36.27 defensive rebounds, 14.70 defensive assists and 14.07 turnovers.

Texas State Facing Adversary with SEC Experience and Superior Shooters

Texas State experienced a challenging season last year, playing in two different arenas due to flooding. Despite being a poor shooting team, Little Rock unexpectedly made the Sun Belt semifinals. However, Texas State has a weak basketball team facing an adversary that not only has an eagerness to play a former Sun Belt team, but is also acclimated to playing away games. This opponent possesses superior shooters, including KK Robinson, who had three seasons of experience in the SEC before joining.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

SportsJaw Texas State vs Trojans archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Crowd vs qualified handicappers

No qualifying consensus sample is available yet.

Qualified handicappers need at least 20 graded picks and a 52.5% win rate. A market needs at least three current qualified picks. Selection share is not a win probability.

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Texas State-125 → -120Moved
  • Moneyline · Ark.-Little Rock Trojans+104 → +100Moved
  • Spread · Texas State-1 (-110) → -1 (-110)Unchanged
  • Spread · Ark.-Little Rock Trojans+1 (-110) → +1 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Over140.5 (-110) → 137 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under140.5 (-110) → 137 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Texas State
ATS unavailable · O/U unavailable
Last 0 completed games on file
Ark.-Little Rock Trojans
12-20 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 8-2-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-11-05T22:35:51.204Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-02-25Ark.-Little Rock Trojans 96 · Lindenwood 97
  • 2023-02-16Southern Indiana 82 · Ark.-Little Rock Trojans 81
  • 2023-01-12Ark.-Little Rock Trojans 67 · Southern Indiana 74
  • 2023-01-04Lindenwood 67 · Ark.-Little Rock Trojans 62
  • 2022-11-26Ark.-Little Rock Trojans 67 · Miami (OH) 80
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Ark.-Little Rock Trojans defeated Texas State 71-66

Ark.-Little Rock Trojans defeated Texas State 71-66 on November 6, 2023, a 5-point decision in the series. Ark.-Little Rock Trojans' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 38-34. Against SportsJaw's recorded Texas State -1 (-110) spread, Ark.-Little Rock Trojans covered, while the 137 total pushed.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • BluedevilSpread · Ark.-Little Rock Trojans +1 (-110)Win
  • Tbone91Spread · Texas State -1 (-110)Loss
  • RcSpread · Ark.-Little Rock Trojans +1 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · Ark.-Little Rock Trojans +1.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 137.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · Ark.-Little Rock Trojans +1.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 137.5 (-110)Loss