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Texas State vs Houston Cougars Predictions December 21, 2023

Game time: December 21, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET

Venue: Fertitta Center — Houston, TX

Article updated Dec 20, 5:36 PM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Texas State are traveling to play the Houston Cougars at the Fertitta Center stadium on Thursday, 12/21/2023 @ 8:00pm EST. Houston is the betting favorite opening at

Game outlook

The Texas State are traveling to play the Houston Cougars at the Fertitta Center stadium on Thursday, 12/21/2023 @ 8:00pm EST. Houston is the betting favorite opening at -26.5 and the current line is Houston -27.5.

Bobcats vs Cougars Prediction for Tonight's Game

Based on recent trends and head to head stats, the Scorecaster predicts Cougars to win tonight's game by 24 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the Texas State to cover the 27.5 point spread and the total to go over 126.5 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: Texas State 55 to Houston 79

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Texas State and Houston Cougars, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

The SportsJaw community predicts Texas State to cover the spread (51%)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Houston will win straight-up is 99%.

From the lines set by Sportsbooks, they predict the score to be TXST 35.75, HOUST 90.75.

OddsShark predicts Houston will win, texas state will cover, and the total will go over.

split down the middle on Covers.com

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Texas State Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 220, Texas State is ranked #289 in offense (scoring an average of 69.30 per game), #115 in defense (allowing an average of 68.50 points to be scored against them per game) and are 6-5 (5-4 ATS) this season.

Offensively, the Bobcats hit an average of 43.28% of their field goals (ranked #252) and 64.89% of their free throws (ranked #330) and makes an average of 29.22% of their three pointers ranked #321 in the NCAAB). They average 37.80 rebounds per game (ranked # 132) and average 12.30 offensive assists and 13.70 turnovers per game (ranked # 265 and 277 respectively).

Defensively speaking, Texas State allows an average of 41.88% field goals (ranked #129) and 73.16% free throws (ranked #278 in the NCAAB) The Bobcats allow an average of 27.81% of the three pointers (ranked #23) and averages 34.30 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 34.30) Finally, the Bobcats average 11.60 defensive assists and 13.80 turnovers per game (ranked # 104 and 106 respectively).

Houston Key Betting Stats

Houston Cougars has a power ranking of 2 and are #159 for offense (scoring an average of 75.82 per game), #1 for defense (giving up an average of 51.18 points per game) and 11-0 (6-5 ATS) overall. Texas State went 3-0 (2-1 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Houston.

For offense, the Cougars hit an average of 43.53% of their field goals (ranked #242) and 65.64% of their free throws (ranked #317) and makes an average of 35.36% of their three pointers (ranked #105 in the NCAAB). They average 41.45 rebounds per game (ranked # 31) and average 14.55 offensive assists and 9.36 turnovers per game (ranked # 119) and 9 respectively).

On defense, Houston allows an average of 35.31% field goals (ranked #1) and 62.09% free throws (ranked #5 in the NCAAB) The Cougars allow an average of 28.18% of the three pointers (ranked #30) and averages 32.00 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 32.00) Finally, the Cougars average 10.73 defensive assists and 17.27 turnovers per game (ranked # 49 and 8 respectively).

Betting Summary

Houston has the advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the Texas State to cover the 27.5 point spread and the total to go over 126.5 points.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

SportsJaw Texas State vs Cougars archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Crowd vs qualified handicappers

No qualifying consensus sample is available yet.

Qualified handicappers need at least 20 graded picks and a 52.5% win rate. A market needs at least three current qualified picks. Selection share is not a win probability.

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Texas State+1,200 → +1,660Moved
  • Moneyline · Houston Cougars-2,400 → -8,000Moved
  • Spread · Texas State+26.5 (-110) → +27.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Houston Cougars-26.5 (-110) → -27.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over126 (-110) → 126.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under126 (-110) → 126.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Texas State
ATS unavailable · O/U unavailable
Last 0 completed games on file
Houston Cougars
30-7 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-12-20T22:36:14.600Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Texas State and Houston Cougars, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-12-13North Carolina A&T 46 · Houston Cougars 74
  • 2022-12-03St. Mary's 48 · Houston Cougars 53
  • 2022-02-17UCF 52 · Houston Cougars 70
  • 2022-01-29Houston Cougars 63 · UCF 49
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Houston Cougars defeated Texas State 72-37

Houston Cougars defeated Texas State 72-37 on December 21, 2023, a 35-point decision in the series. Houston Cougars' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 43-19. Against SportsJaw's recorded Texas State +27.5 (-110) spread, Houston Cougars covered, while the 109 combined points finished under the recorded total of 126.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • EmcTotal · Over 126 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioSpread · Texas State +28 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 126 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · Texas State +28 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 126 (-110)Loss
  • CoversSpread · Houston Cougars -27.5 (-110)Win