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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Illinois Fighting Illini vs Michigan St. Spartans
Sat 2:00 PM ET
Illinois Fighting Illini logo
Illinois
Fighting Illini80
28-9
versus
Michigan St. Spartans logo
Michigan St.
Spartans88
27-8
Final
Team12T
Illinois Fighting Illini413980
Michigan St. Spartans444488
NCAAB · Illinois Fighting Illini at Michigan St. Spartans

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Illinois Fighting Illini vs Michigan St. Spartans Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: February 10, 2024 at 2:00 PM ET

Venue: Breslin Center — East Lansing, MI

Article updated Feb 10, 6:20 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

In this content, two college basketball programs will be facing off in the Great Lakes State. Illinois recently won a game against Nebraska in overtime but failed to cover

Game outlook

In this content, two college basketball programs will be facing off in the Great Lakes State. Illinois recently won a game against Nebraska in overtime but failed to cover the line as a 10-point favorite. Michigan State, on the other hand, lost to Minnesota as a 3.5-point favorite. The all-time series between the two teams is tied at 64 victories each, but Illinois has won the last four matchups, including a win earlier this season. Michigan State is currently favored in the betting lines, with the opening line at -2.5 and the current line at -3.5.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Fighting Illini +140 | Spartans -170

Spread: Fighting Illini +3.5 (-110) | Spartans -3.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 146 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Michigan St. will win straight-up is 63%.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Illinois recently secured their third consecutive victory by narrowly defeating Nebraska in overtime during their most recent game. With this win, the Fighting Illini have improved their overall record to 17-5 and hold an 8-3 record in the Big Ten conference, placing them second in the standings, trailing Purdue by only 1.5 games. Although Illinois initially fell behind by seven points during the first half, they managed to reduce the deficit and entered halftime trailing by only two points. The team began the second half on a strong note with a 13-4 run, taking a seven-point lead. They maintained a 10-point advantage with just 3:29 left in regulation play. However, they allowed Nebraska to stage an 11-1 comeback to force the game into overtime. In the extra period, the Fighting Illini quickly scored five consecutive points to secure a 79-75 lead and held on until the end. Throughout the game, Illinois shot 41.4% from the field and controlled the rebounding battle with a 50-33 margin. Coleman Hawkins emerged as the top performer for the Fighting Illini, contributing 20 points, seven rebounds, and five assists. Illinois demonstrates a strong offensive prowess, ranking 25th in scoring offense nationally with an average of 82.5 points per game. They also excel in rebounding, collecting an average of 43.2 rebounds per game, placing them fourth in the country. The team distributes the ball effectively, averaging 13 assists per game. Defensively, the Fighting Illini perform above average, allowing an average of 69.6 points per game, ranking 117th nationally. Terrence Shannon Jr. leads the team in scoring with an average of 20 points per game, along with 4.1 rebounds and 2.5 assists. Notable secondary scoring options include Coleman Hawkins, Quincy Guerrier, and Marcus Domask. Additionally, several other players, such as Ty Rodgers, Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn, Niccolo Moretti, Dain Dainja, Luke Goode, Amani Hansberry, and Justin Harmon, contribute to the team's success under the guidance of coach Brad Underwood. As a team, Illinois shoots 46.1% from the field, connects on 8.4 three-pointers per game with a 33.9% success rate, and converts 72.3% of their free throw attempts. A ranking of Had the defense fooled. #Illini | #HTTO | #EveryDayGuys pic.twitter.com/igQawpN3Ob

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Michigan St. Spartans Analysis

The Michigan State men's basketball team recently suffered a loss against Minnesota, ending their two-game winning streak. Their overall record is now 14-9, and they are tied for sixth place in the Big Ten conference with a 6-6 record. During the game, Michigan State initially led by five points, fell behind by seven, and then regained a five-point lead at halftime. However, they experienced a scoreless period of over six minutes, allowing Minnesota to take the lead and ultimately win the game. Despite shooting 44.7% from the field and making seven three-pointers, Michigan State struggled at the free-throw line, converting only seven out of 17 attempts. Tyson Walker led the team with 20 points in the loss. In terms of their season performance, Michigan State ranks 174th in scoring offense, averaging 74.5 points per game. They are 237th in rebounding, averaging 34.8 rebounds per game, and 18th in assists with 17.4 per game. Defensively, they are 30th in scoring defense, allowing 65 points per game. Tyson Walker is the team's top scorer and assists leader with 19 points and three assists per game. Jaden Akins, A.J. Hoggard, and Malik Hall are also key contributors on offense. The team collectively shoots 47.3% from the field and 36.6% from three-point range. However, they struggle at the free-throw line, shooting 68.8%. In terms of power rankings, Michigan State is ranked 204th, with their offense ranked 171st and defense ranked 32nd. Their record against Illinois in their last three matchups is 0-3. On offense, they shoot 47.29% from the field, 68.78% from the free-throw line, and 36.62% from three-point range. They average 34.83 rebounds per game and have 17.39 offensive assists and 10.04 turnovers per game. Defensively, they allow opponents to shoot 39.75% from the field and 72.09% from the free-throw line. They also allow opponents to shoot 31.29% from three-point range and average 33.91 defensive rebounds per game. Additionally, they average 12.09 defensive assists and 12.61 turnovers per game. Tyson Walker DROPPED HIM 😳⛸️ @TysonWalker13 x @MSU_Basketball pic.twitter.com/oOTlJUNeVj

Illinois Set to Clash with Michigan State in Battle of Playing Styles

This upcoming game showcases a clash of playing styles, with Illinois displaying a high-octane offensive strategy capable of accumulating significant points, while Michigan State focuses on grinding out each possession. The Spartans have demonstrated their dominance at home with an impressive 12-2 record this season; although, they did face an early defeat against James Madison in overtime. Conversely, Illinois has struggled on the road, achieving a 28-9 record with losses against Tennessee, Purdue, and a close overtime defeat to Northwestern. The return of Shannon Jr. to the Fighting Illini lineup enhances their offensive capabilities, rendering them a more formidable force. Anticipate Illinois to effectively neutralize Walker and secure a difficult victory away from home, as they excel defensively.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Fighting Illini vs Spartans archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Fighting Illini vs Spartans matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Illinois Fighting Illini+118 → +145Moved
  • Moneyline · Michigan St. Spartans-144 → -168Moved
  • Spread · Illinois Fighting Illini+2.5 (-110) → +3.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Michigan St. Spartans-2.5 (-110) → -3.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over146.5 (-110) → 145.25 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under146.5 (-110) → 145.25 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Illinois Fighting Illini
28-9 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 8-2-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Michigan St. Spartans
27-8 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-02-10T11:20:07.219Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-01-11Michigan St. Spartans 68 · Illinois Fighting Illini 71
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Michigan St. Spartans defeated Illinois Fighting Illini 88-80

Michigan St. Spartans defeated Illinois Fighting Illini 88-80 on February 10, 2024, a 8-point decision in the series. Michigan St. Spartans' strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 44-39. Against SportsJaw's recorded Illinois Fighting Illini +3.5 (-110) spread, Michigan St. Spartans covered, while the 168 combined points finished over the recorded total of 145.25.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • CoversSpread · Michigan St. Spartans -3.5 (-110)Win