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NCAAB PicksWed 8:00 PM ET
Appalachian St. Mountaineers logo
Appalachian St.
Mountaineers56
versus
TE
Texas State63
Final
Team12T
Appalachian St. Mountaineers263056
Texas State293463
NCAAB · Appalachian St. Mountaineers at Texas State

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Appalachian St. Mountaineers vs Texas State Predictions February 7, 2024

Game time: February 7, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET

Venue: Strahan Arena at the University Events Center — San Marcos, TX

Article updated Feb 7, 6:23 AM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Appalachian State Mountaineers will be looking to continue their winning streak on the road as they face the Texas State Bobcats. The game is set to take place at Strahan

Game outlook

The Appalachian State Mountaineers will be looking to continue their winning streak on the road as they face the Texas State Bobcats. The game is set to take place at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center at 8 PM ET. The Mountaineers are coming off a close victory against Georgia Southern, while the Bobcats secured a win against Southern Mississippi. These two teams have had an even record in their previous matchups. Currently, Appalachian State is favored to win by a margin of 8 points according to betting odds.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Mountaineers -400 | +305

Spread: Mountaineers -8 (-110) | +8 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 133.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Appalachian St. will win straight-up is 80%.

Appalachian St. Mountaineers

The Appalachian State Mountaineers have been performing exceptionally well during conference play, boasting an eight-game winning streak leading up to their upcoming game. Currently, they hold a one-game advantage over Troy in the Sun Belt standings and will strive to expand this lead with a win on Wednesday. Their victory would mark their ninth consecutive win and fifth consecutive win on the road. Offensively, the Mountaineers have been impressively averaging 76.3 points per game, with their most recent game resulting in 85 points. They have displayed efficiency in shooting, making 47.9 percent of their field goals and 44.4 percent of their three-pointers. Terence Harcum led the team in their last game with 26 points and three rebounds, while Justin Abson contributed 20 points and eight rebounds. Donovan Gregory also added 11 points, three rebounds, and three assists. On the defensive end, Appalachian State has been performing well, conceding an average of 67.7 points per game. However, they allowed 84 points in their last game and will need to improve their defensive efforts to secure the win. According to power rankings, the Mountaineers are ranked 84th in offense, scoring an average of 77.95 points per game. Defensively, they are ranked 28th, allowing an average of 64.59 points against them per game. This season, they have achieved a record of 19-4, with a 13-8 ATS (against the spread) score. In terms of shooting, the Mountaineers have an average field goal percentage of 46.82 percent, ranking them 71st nationally. Their free throw percentage stands at 65.75 percent, ranking them 330th in the country. Furthermore, they have an average three-point shooting percentage of 31.21 percent, putting them at 297th place. Rebounding has been a strength for Appalachian State, averaging 42.68 rebounds per game, placing them at 6th in the country. They also excel in offensive assists, averaging 15.32 per game, ranking them 67th. However, turnovers have been a weakness, with an average of 10.55 turnovers per game, placing them at 64th. Defensively, the Mountaineers are allowing opponents to make 37.47 percent of their field goals, ranking them 2nd in the nation. From the free-throw line, they concede Highlights from yesterday’s road win. ⏪ #TakeTheStairs pic.twitter.com/ExbAcZZXWd

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Texas State Analysis

The Texas State Bobcats recently ended a four-game losing streak by winning their last two games. They hope to maintain their momentum by defeating the Mountaineers, which would result in their third consecutive win. Currently, Texas State is averaging 64.8 points per game. In their previous game, they scored 60 points, with a field goal percentage of 41% and a three-point percentage of 14.3%. Brandon Love led the team with 15 points and 14 rebounds, while Jordan Mason contributed 14 points and four steals, and Davion Sykes added 12 points and eight rebounds. However, Texas State has faced defensive struggles, allowing an average of 71.4 points per game. In their last game, they allowed 55 points and will need a similar defensive effort to secure a victory. Additionally, Texas State has a power ranking of 284 and ranks 304th in offense, scoring an average of 68.95 points per game. Their defense ranks 167th, giving up an average of 71.41 points per game. Overall, Texas State has a record of 9-14 and is 9-12 against the spread. In their previous three matchups against Texas State, Appalachian State went 1-2 and did not cover the spread in any of those games. In terms of offense, the Bobcats have a field goal percentage of 44.21% (ranked 212th), a free throw percentage of 68.55% (ranked 289th), and a three-point percentage of 32.02% (ranked 267th in the NCAAB). They average 36.18 rebounds per game (ranked 162nd), 12.41 offensive assists, and 13.86 turnovers per game (ranked 252nd and 320th, respectively). On the defensive end, Texas State allows a field goal percentage of 44.07% (ranked 211th), a free throw percentage of 71.96% (ranked 223rd in the NCAAB), and a three-point percentage of 31.14% (ranked 64th). They average 33.82 defensive rebounds per game (ranked 33rd) and have 12.18 defensive assists and 12.09 turnovers per game (ranked 126th and 206th, respectively). PACK STRAHAN‼️‼️ App State is top in the @SunBelt and coming to our home tomorrow at 7p. Let’s. Be. LOUD. #ShowEmState pic.twitter.com/phYTNuMXbP

Appalachian State's Offensive Prowess and Defensive Weakness Makes Them Favorites Against Bobcats

Appalachian State's basketball team is currently enjoying a successful streak, with eight consecutive victories and a noteworthy performance on the road where they have triumphed in four consecutive matches. Their offensive prowess has been particularly impressive, as they have averaged over 82 points per game in their last three outings. The team has displayed excellent teamwork and an aggressive approach on the offensive glass, enabling them to create numerous scoring opportunities. Moreover, the Mountaineers have also exhibited improved ball control, minimizing turnovers and thus preventing their opponents, the Bobcats, from capitalizing on easy-scoring chances. In contrast, the Bobcats' defensive abilities leave much to be desired, allowing an average of over 71 points per game on their home court. Consequently, they are likely to struggle in containing the Mountaineers in their upcoming encounter. The Bobcats' recent performance has been less than stellar, suffering defeat in four out of their last six matches. Their offensive struggles are evident, scoring fewer than 70 points per game at home. Additionally, their accuracy at the free-throw line has been subpar, converting less than 65 percent of their attempts in the past three games. Their weak ball movement and lackluster rebounding, in comparison to the Mountaineers, limit their chances of generating additional scoring opportunities. Furthermore, the Bobcats' carelessness in possession has proven detrimental, as the Mountaineers, known for their ability to steal the ball, are poised to capitalize on these turnovers and subsequently convert them into easy scoring chances. Defensively, Appalachian State has been commendable, holding their opponents to under 70 points per game on the road, which bodes well for their ability to contain Texas State's offense. Given these circumstances, it is advisable to favor Appalachian State in covering the spread.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

SportsJaw Mountaineers vs Texas State archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Crowd vs qualified handicappers

No qualifying consensus sample is available yet.

Qualified handicappers need at least 20 graded picks and a 52.5% win rate. A market needs at least three current qualified picks. Selection share is not a win probability.

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Appalachian St. Mountaineers-389 → -385Moved
  • Moneyline · Texas State+295 → +299Moved
  • Spread · Appalachian St. Mountaineers-8 (-110) → -8 (-110)Unchanged
  • Spread · Texas State+8 (-110) → +8 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Over133.5 (-110) → 132.75 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under133.5 (-110) → 132.75 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Appalachian St. Mountaineers
6-4-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Texas State
ATS unavailable · O/U unavailable
Last 0 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-02-07T11:23:06.923Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-02-16Texas State 75 · Appalachian St. Mountaineers 82
  • 2022-02-03Appalachian St. Mountaineers 66 · Texas State 68
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Texas State defeated Appalachian St. Mountaineers 63-56

Texas State defeated Appalachian St. Mountaineers 63-56 on February 7, 2024, a 7-point decision in the series. Texas State's strongest period was the 2nd half, when it outscored its opponent 34-30. Against SportsJaw's recorded Appalachian St. Mountaineers -8 (-110) spread, Texas State covered, while the 119 combined points finished under the recorded total of 132.75.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • AdrianMariucciSpread · Texas State +8 (-110)Win
  • DoclocksSpread · Texas State -8.5 (-110)Win