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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. The Citadel Bulldogs vs Mercer Bears
Fri 5:00 PM ET
The Citadel Bulldogs logo
The Citadel
Bulldogs41
11-22
versus
Mercer Bears logo
Mercer
Bears66
19-13
Final
Team12T
The Citadel Bulldogs103141
Mercer Bears273966
NCAAB · The Citadel Bulldogs at Mercer Bears

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The Citadel Bulldogs vs Mercer Bears Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: March 3, 2023 at 5:00 PM ET

Venue: Harrah's Cherokee Center — Asheville, NC

Article updated Mar 3, 2:50 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The The Citadel Bulldogs are on the road playing the Mercer Bears at the Harrah's Cherokee Center stadium on Friday, 3/3/2023 @ 5:00pm EST. Mercer is the betting favorite

Game outlook

The The Citadel Bulldogs are on the road playing the Mercer Bears at the Harrah's Cherokee Center stadium on Friday, 3/3/2023 @ 5:00pm EST. Mercer is the betting favorite opening at -5.5 and the current line is Mercer -7.

Bulldogs vs Bears Prediction for Today's Game

Based on recent trends and head to head stats, the Scorecaster predicts Bulldogs to win today's game by 2 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the The Citadel Bulldogs to cover the 7 point spread and the total to go under 135 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: The Citadel 59 to Mercer 57

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the The Citadel Bulldogs and Mercer Bears, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

50% of SportsJaw players predict Mercer Bears to cover the spread.

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Mercer will win straight-up is 76%.

Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the score to be CITDL 60.5, MERCR 74.5.

OddsShark 's prediction is Mercer will win, cover the spread, and the total will go over.

split down the middle on Covers.com

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

The Citadel Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 298, The Citadel is ranked #257 in offense (scoring an average of 68.90 per game), #304 in defense (allowing an average of 74.53 points to be scored against them per game) and are 10-21 (12-16-2 ATS) this season.

Offensively, the Bulldogs hit an average of 43.95% of their field goals (ranked #225) and 76.52% of their free throws (ranked #25) and makes an average of 33.68% of their three pointers ranked #213 in the NCAAB). They average 32.07 rebounds per game (ranked # 311) and average 11.90 offensive assists and 12.47 turnovers per game (ranked # 282 and 186 respectively).

Defensively speaking, The Citadel allows an average of 44.37% field goals (ranked #230) and 72.56% free throws (ranked #241 in the NCAAB) The Bulldogs allow an average of 33.24% of the three pointers (ranked #142) and averages 36.67 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 36.67) Finally, the Bulldogs average 13.37 defensive assists and 11.07 turnovers per game (ranked # 229 and 315 respectively).

Mercer Key Betting Stats

Mercer Bears has a power ranking of 160 and are #249 for offense (scoring an average of 69.07 per game), #131 for defense (giving up an average of 68.23 points per game) and 13-18 (12-16-1 ATS) overall. The Citadel went 2-1 (2-1 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Mercer.

For offense, the Bears hit an average of 45.16% of their field goals (ranked #157) and 68.57% of their free throws (ranked #292) and makes an average of 34.03% of their three pointers (ranked #192 in the NCAAB). They average 34.03 rebounds per game (ranked # 235) and average 13.03 offensive assists and 11.33 turnovers per game (ranked # 190) and 67 respectively).

On defense, Mercer allows an average of 43.67% field goals (ranked #179) and 73.22% free throws (ranked #278 in the NCAAB) The Bears allow an average of 34.30% of the three pointers (ranked #218) and averages 32.77 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 32.77) Finally, the Bears average 11.23 defensive assists and 12.03 turnovers per game (ranked # 74 and 241 respectively).

Betting Summary

Mercer has a slight advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).

The Scorecaster model predicts the The Citadel Bulldogs to cover the 7 point spread and the total to go under 135 points.

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#TheCitadelBulldogs#MercerBears

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Bulldogs vs Bears archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Bulldogs vs Bears matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · The Citadel Bulldogs+205 → +260Moved
  • Moneyline · Mercer Bears-225 → -320Moved
  • Spread · The Citadel Bulldogs+5.5 (-110) → +7 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Mercer Bears-5.5 (-110) → -7 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over138.5 (-110) → 135 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under138.5 (-110) → 135 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

The Citadel Bulldogs
11-22 matchup record · 2-8-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Mercer Bears
19-13 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-03-03T07:50:12.000Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the The Citadel Bulldogs and Mercer Bears, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-02-25The Citadel Bulldogs 50 · Mercer Bears 72
  • 2023-01-28Mercer Bears 74 · The Citadel Bulldogs 65
  • 2022-02-23The Citadel Bulldogs 71 · Mercer Bears 67
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Mercer Bears defeated The Citadel Bulldogs 66-41

Mercer Bears defeated The Citadel Bulldogs 66-41 on March 3, 2023, a 25-point decision in the series. Mercer Bears' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 27-10. Against SportsJaw's recorded The Citadel Bulldogs +7 (-110) spread, Mercer Bears covered, while the 107 combined points finished under the recorded total of 135.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • CoversSpread · Mercer Bears -6.25 (-110)Win
  • 7004631542Spread · Mercer Bears -6.25 (-110)Win
  • 3489598413Spread · Mercer Bears -6.25 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · The Citadel Bulldogs +7.5 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 134 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · The Citadel Bulldogs +7.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 134 (-110)Loss