California Golden Bears vs SMU Mustangs Predictions October 24, 2026
SMU is the pick to beat California 31-14, with its balanced offensive performance against Virginia providing the strongest matchup advantage over a Cal defense that just surrendered 509 yards. The Mustangs have the stronger recent case to win, but the supplied prices offer no compelling wager. Pass on SMU -19.5 (-109) and the total of 53.5.
California Golden Bears vs SMU Mustangs prediction and best bet
SMU should win this matchup, but asking the Mustangs to cover 19.5 points requires a stronger conclusion than their latest performance warrants. They beat Virginia 23-13 on Oct. 17, while California lost 41-7 to No. 21 Wake Forest. Those results favor SMU in the forecast without making another lopsided Cal defeat inevitable.
The official betting recommendation is Pass. SMU's recent offensive balance and defensive performance justify picking the home team. One game apiece against different opponents offers a less persuasive reason to lay nearly three touchdowns or bet a total that depends heavily on California's response.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Date: Saturday, Oct. 24, 2026. This is a 2026 college football matchup.
Venue: Gerald J. Ford Stadium, Dallas, Texas.
Broadcast: CW.
Records through Oct. 17: California is 3-4 overall and 2-2 in ACC play. SMU is 5-1 overall and 3-1 in conference games.
SportsJaw odds: California Golden Bears +19.5 (-108); SMU Mustangs -19.5 (-108). Moneyline: California Golden Bears +733; SMU Mustangs -1,150. Total: Over 53.5 (-110); Under 53.5 (-108).
SportsJaw total: Over 53.5 (-111); Under 53.5 (-108). Moneyline: California +675; SMU -1,000.