Alabama Crimson Tide vs Mississippi St. Bulldogs Predictions October 3, 2026
Alabama will beat Mississippi State 35-28, with Keelon Russell’s production and four consecutive games of at least 45 points giving the Crimson Tide the stronger offensive case. Mississippi State’s unbeaten start and recent ranked home win make this a competitive forecast. Neither Alabama -6 (-108) nor Over 60 (-115) offers a compelling enough edge for an official wager. The recommendation is Pass.
Alabama Crimson Tide vs Mississippi St. Bulldogs prediction and best bet
Alabama gets the pick because its scoring success extends beyond one Saturday. The Crimson Tide scored at least 45 points in each of their first four games, and Russell supplied 400 total yards in the September 26 victory over South Carolina. That sustained production is the strongest reason to expect Alabama to win this matchup.
The best betting decision is Pass. Mississippi State brings a 4-0 record and a 31-24 win over No. 19 Missouri into this home game. A projected Alabama 35, Mississippi State 28 finish leaves little cushion against Alabama -6 (-108). The scoring outlook tilts above 60, but the total also deserves a separate, more cautious judgment.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Game: Alabama at Mississippi State, 2026 college football, Saturday, October 3.
Kickoff: 12 p.m. ET, 11 a.m. CT. Broadcast: ABC.
Venue: Mississippi State hosts at Davis Wade Stadium.
Recent results: Alabama beat South Carolina 49-18. Mississippi State beat Missouri 31-24 and enters 4-0 overall, 2-0 in SEC play.
SportsJaw spread: Alabama -6 (-108); Mississippi State +6 (-110).
SportsJaw total: Over 60 (-115); Under 60 (-105). Moneyline: Alabama -225; Mississippi State +189.