Baylor Bears vs Arizona St. Sun Devils Predictions Today
Arizona State will beat Baylor, 24-20, with its first-half defense providing the strongest reason to favor the Sun Devils at home. Baylor’s pressure should keep the margin close, while Arizona State’s modest offensive production against FBS opponents strengthens the scoring case. Under 48.5 (-110) is the actionable wager at the supplied price; the spread is a Pass.
Baylor Bears vs Arizona St. Sun Devils prediction and best bet
Arizona State gets the nod in a matchup where defensive disruption should matter more than either team’s overall scoring average. The Sun Devils have allowed 121.3 first-half yards per game through three contests. Baylor brings a different threat: 15 sacks through four games, including five against Colorado. Both profiles suggest stretches when sustained offense will be difficult.
Under 48.5 (-110) is the best bet. Baylor has held all four opponents below 20 points, while Arizona State averaged 22.0 points against its two FBS opponents. The Sun Devils’ home setting tips the winner forecast their way, but a projected four-point margin leaves too little separation from Arizona State -3.5 (-110) to recommend the spread.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Game: Baylor at Arizona State, Saturday, October 3, 2026, in Big 12 college football.
Kickoff: Arizona State’s official preview lists 7:30 p.m. Arizona time. Television: ESPN.
Venue: Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, Arizona.
Records: Baylor is 3-1 overall; Arizona State is 2-1. Both are 1-0 in conference play.
SportsJaw spread: Baylor +3.5 (-104); Arizona State -3.5 (-110).
SportsJaw moneyline: Baylor +153; Arizona State -178. Total: Over 48.5 (-110) or Under 48.5 (-110).