Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans Predictions October 4, 2026
The Houston Texans will beat the Dallas Cowboys 27-24 in our forecast for October 4, 2026. Houston’s defensive front against a recently improved Dallas running game is the strongest matchup reason, with the Cowboys’ injuries adding uncertainty. Confidence is low: Houston -2.5 (-110) offers too little margin for a spread wager, and the total of 48 is also a Pass.
Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans prediction and best bet
Houston gets the nod in this Week 4 matchup of the 2026 NFL season because its defensive front presents a challenge to Dallas’ clearest recent improvement. Javonte Williams helped revive the Cowboys’ running game against Baltimore, but the Dallas report on that performance also highlighted the strength of Houston’s front.
The Cowboys’ injuries tilt a close forecast toward the Texans. Three Dallas players left the September 27 game and could not return, adding uncertainty to preparations for Houston. Their availability still matters more than the length of the injury list alone.
The official best bet is Pass. A narrow Houston victory is the forecast, but neither the spread nor the total offers a convincing betting edge.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Game: Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans, Week 4 of the 2026 NFL season.
Kickoff: Sunday, October 4, 2026, at 12:00 p.m. CT, according to Houston’s September 27 viewing guide.
Television: FOX, including Houston-area FOX-26. Local radio: 95.7 The Fan.
SportsJaw spread: Dallas +2.5 (-110); Houston -2.5 (-110).
SportsJaw moneyline: Dallas +115; Houston -135.
SportsJaw total: Over 48 (-108); Under 48 (-110). These are the prices used for the spread and total decisions below; the consensus total references a different line.