New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Predictions Today: Christian Scott vs Andrew Alvarez
The Washington Nationals will beat the New York Mets, 4-3, in our September 25 forecast. Andrew Alvarez's 13 scoreless innings across his two most recent listed starts give Washington its strongest advantage, backed by a higher season scoring average. Confidence is low: New York has the better bullpen and an unconfirmed starter. The supplied prices leave the official wager as Pass.
New York Mets vs Washington Nationals prediction and best bet
Washington gets the narrow nod because Alvarez's recent pitching and the Nationals' season scoring rate offer a credible route to an early lead. He threw seven scoreless innings against the Angels on September 12, then six more at St. Louis on September 19. Washington averages 5.08 runs per game against New York's 4.29.
Best bet: Pass. Nationals moneyline +113 is tempting, but the Mets' stronger relief numbers make protecting that projected lead a concern. New York's unresolved starting assignment also leaves a substantial part of the matchup unsettled. Washington is the forecast winner; neither the run line nor the total offers a strong enough edge to justify an official wager.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Game: New York Mets at Washington Nationals, 2026 MLB season. Friday, September 25, at 6:45 p.m. EDT.
Venue: Nationals Park, Washington, D.C. Broadcast: WPIX and Nationals.TV.
Records: Mets 73-86; Nationals 75-84. Probable pitchers: Washington left-hander Andrew Alvarez; New York's starter remains unconfirmed on both clubs' official pages.
SportsJaw moneylines: Mets -135; Nationals +113.
SportsJaw run lines: Mets -1.5 (+130); Nationals +1.5 (-150).