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NCAAF PicksSat 7:30 PM ET
Notre Dame Fighting Irish logo
Notre Dame
Fighting Irish
4-0
versus
BYU Cougars logo
BYU
Cougars
5-0
NCAAF · NOTRD at BYU

Your Picks on Notre Dame vs BYU

Picks close 15 minutes before game time (ET)
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Notre Dame vs BYU consensus picks

NOTRD88%
12%BYU

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs BYU Cougars Predictions October 17, 2026

Game time: October 17, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET

Venue: LaVell Edwards Stadium — Provo, UT

Article updated Oct 12, 9:33 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Notre Dame will beat BYU 27-21 in our forecast, with its recent combination of explosive rushing and defensive control supplying the strongest reason to favor the Irish. Bear Bachmeier’s passing and running make BYU a difficult opponent to separate from, however. Neither Notre Dame -10.5 nor BYU +10.5 offers a sufficiently convincing edge at the supplied prices, so the official wager is Pass.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs BYU Cougars prediction and best bet

Notre Dame gets the winner pick because its latest performance paired offensive production with defensive stops. The Irish beat Stanford 58-7 on Oct. 10, reaching 6-0. That gives them the stronger recent all-around result in this matchup, although comparing two games against different opponents has obvious limits.

The best betting decision is Pass. BYU’s quarterback gives the Cougars a credible route to a close finish, but one excellent performance is a fragile foundation for backing the underdog. Our six-point projected margin favors BYU against the spread as a forecast; it falls short of making BYU +10.5 (-115) an official recommendation.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Date and matchup: Notre Dame Fighting Irish at BYU Cougars, Oct. 17, 2026, in the 2026 college football season.

Venue: LaVell Edwards Stadium. Broadcast: ABC.

SportsJaw moneyline: Notre Dame -411; BYU +315.

SportsJaw spread: Notre Dame -10.5 (-101); BYU +10.5 (-115).

SportsJaw total: Over 47.5 (-112); Under 47.5 (-109).

Record and rankings: Notre Dame reached 6-0 on Oct. 10. BYU’s Oct. 9 official recap described this upcoming matchup as No. 8 BYU hosting No. 3 Notre Dame.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish outlook

Notre Dame rushed for more than 300 yards against Stanford. True freshman Jonaz Walton contributed 181 yards on 13 carries, setting the program’s single-game rushing record for a true freshman. His touchdown runs covered 97 and 40 yards, illustrating the scoring potential BYU must account for.

CJ Carr also threw touchdown passes of 70 yards to Aneyas Williams and 30 yards to Elijah Burress. Those plays make an aggressive commitment to stopping the run a potentially costly choice for BYU. They show multiple ways Notre Dame scored in its last game, without guaranteeing the same opportunities against the Cougars.

Defensively, the Irish held Stanford to 202 total yards, including 58 rushing yards. Boubacar Traore recorded a strip-sack and an interception, while Drayk Bowen led the team with six tackles. The next challenge is translating that control to an offense with a productive running quarterback.

BYU Cougars outlook

Bachmeier drove BYU’s 24-10 home victory over Iowa State on Oct. 9. He completed 22 of 30 passes for 329 yards and two touchdowns and added 109 rushing yards. BYU’s recap identified him as its first quarterback since Taysom Hill to reach 300 passing yards and 100 rushing yards in the same game.

His versatility is the clearest reason to expect resistance from the Cougars. In this forecast, BYU needs Bachmeier to threaten the defense in both phases so Notre Dame cannot concentrate solely on one part of the offense.

BYU also delivered crucial defensive stops against Iowa State, denying two fourth-down attempts in the final 1:08. That finish offers encouragement for a close-game scenario. Notre Dame’s recent long touchdowns make preventing quick scores another priority, because late stops have less influence if the Irish build a substantial lead.

Key matchup factors

The central tactical question is how Notre Dame balances pressure with containing Bachmeier. An aggressive approach could create disruptive plays, but losing track of his rushing threat could give BYU another way to sustain possessions. That tension is the strongest reason to keep the projected margin modest.

SportsJaw’s blended moneyline consensus favors Notre Dame -411 at 83%, updated Oct. 12 at 13:23 UTC. That is a consensus share, not an 83% win probability or a separate SportsJaw member-pick percentage. It supports the direction of the winner pick without answering whether Notre Dame can cover 10.5 points.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs BYU Cougars spread prediction

Pass on Notre Dame -10.5 (-101) and BYU +10.5 (-115). The forecast puts BYU inside the number, but the underdog case rests heavily on Bachmeier carrying his Iowa State performance into a different matchup.

Notre Dame’s explosive scoring creates a meaningful risk to that position. A few long gains could turn a competitive game into an Irish cover. With strong recent performances on both sides and limited comparative evidence, the projected margin is too uncertain to justify a spread wager.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs BYU Cougars total prediction

Pass on Over 47.5 (-112) and Under 47.5 (-109). Our projected 48 points sits only half a point above the total, leaving virtually no cushion for an Over recommendation.

Recent offensive production argues for scoring potential, while Notre Dame’s defensive performance and BYU’s fourth-down stops offer reasons for restraint. Neither direction has a persuasive advantage at these prices.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs BYU Cougars projected score

Game forecast: Notre Dame Fighting Irish 27, BYU Cougars 21. Notre Dame’s recent balance earns the winner selection. Bachmeier’s ability to generate offense through the air and on the ground is the strongest counterargument and keeps this a low-confidence forecast.

The projected winner is Notre Dame. Both the spread and total recommendations are Pass, and the single official SportsJaw betting lean is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

NOTRD27

BYU21

Projected winner Notre Dame Fighting IrishConfidenceModerate Lean — BYU Cougars
Pick on the Spread

Moderate Lean — BYU Cougars +10

Editorial pick at publication: Pass (article line changed)

Pick on the Total

Slight Lean — Over 47.5

Editorial pick at publication: Pass on Over 47.5 (-112) and Under 47.5 (-109)

Sources

  • Notre Dame Fighting IrishPrevious-game context: Irish Run Past Stanford 58-7
  • BYU AthleticsPrevious-game context: Bachmeier Leads No. 8 BYU Past Iowa State 24-10

SportsJaw Fighting Irish vs Cougars game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Fighting Irish vs Cougars matchups or learn how our predictions work.

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