Mississippi St. Bulldogs vs LSU Tigers Predictions October 17, 2026
LSU will beat Mississippi State 31-27 in our forecast for Oct. 17, with Sam Leavitt's recent passing efficiency supplying the strongest football reason to favor the Tigers at home. Mississippi State's higher ranking and LSU's lost late lead at Kentucky temper that pick. Neither the supplied 11.5-point spread nor the 59-point total offers a compelling wager; the official recommendation is Pass.
Mississippi St. Bulldogs vs LSU Tigers prediction and best bet
The pick is LSU, but confidence is low. Leavitt's productive outing at Kentucky offers an encouraging starting point for the Tigers' offense. Playing at home adds to the case for a narrow victory, although that passing performance alone tells us little about how Mississippi State will defend him.
The official SportsJaw betting recommendation is Pass. A four-point projected margin makes laying 11.5 unattractive, while the Bulldogs need more than a favorable ranking to become a strong spread selection. The total requires a separate judgment: a projection of 58 points leaves only a small difference from 59.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Game: Mississippi St. Bulldogs at LSU Tigers, NCAA football, 2026 season.
Kickoff: Oct. 17, 2026, at 11 a.m. CT. Broadcast: ESPN. LSU's official Kentucky recap confirms the opponent, date, kickoff and channel.
SportsJaw spread: Mississippi State +11.5 (-110); LSU -11.5 (-110).
SportsJaw total: Over 59 (-110); Under 59 (-110). Moneyline: Mississippi State +340; LSU -440.
Rankings: CBS Sports' Oct. 11 Week 7 slate listed Mississippi State No. 16 and LSU No. 22, making this a matchup of ranked SEC teams.