SportsJaw
LeaderboardToday's GamesBest BetsConsensus PicksMake Picks
Login / Sign In
Today's GamesLatest PredictionsToday’s Best BetsConsensus PicksTeam PredictionsHead-to-Head MatchupsSJ CoinsAbout SportsJawContact UsLogin / Sign In
HomeMatchupsMake PicksLeaders
SportsJaw

The social platform for sports bettors.

Explore SportsJaw

  • Today’s Picks
  • Predictions
  • Best Bets
  • Leaderboard
  • Make Picks
  • Consensus Picks
  • Team Predictions
  • Head-to-Head
  • Game Briefing

Picks by Sport

  • NFL Picks
  • NCAAF Picks
  • NBA Picks
  • NCAAB Picks
  • MLB Picks
  • NHL Picks

About SportsJaw

  • How It Works
  • SJ Coins
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Contact Us

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

© 2026 SportsJaw. For entertainment purposes only. SportsJaw does not accept or place wagers.

NCAAF PicksSat 3:30 PM ET
Sacramento St. Hornets logo
Sacramento St.
Hornets
1-6
versus
Ball St. Cardinals logo
Ball St.
Cardinals
2-5
NCAAF · Sacramento St. Hornets at Ball St. Cardinals

Your Picks on Sacramento St. vs Ball St.

Picks close 15 minutes before game time (ET)
Spread
Moneyline
Total

Sacramento St. Hornets vs Ball St. Cardinals Predictions October 24, 2026

Game time: October 24, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET

Venue: Scheumann Stadium — Muncie, IN

Article updated Oct 19, 8:43 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Ball State will beat Sacramento State, with a projected score of Ball State 28, Sacramento State 20. The Cardinals’ productive rushing performance at Bowling Green gives them the stronger recent foundation against a Hornets team coming off a 48-7 loss. That edge favors a home win, but neither Ball State -11.5 (-110) nor the total of 51 offers a compelling wager.

Sacramento St. Hornets vs Ball St. Cardinals prediction and best bet

Ball State is the pick to win, but the official betting recommendation is Pass. Its latest offensive performance makes the Cardinals the more appealing team outright. Asking a 2-5 team to win by at least 12 points requires a stronger case than one productive afternoon.

Sacramento State’s heavy loss to Ohio strengthens the argument for a Cardinals victory. The distinction is the margin: Ball State needed a touchdown as regulation expired and then overtime to beat Bowling Green. That result offers encouragement about its offense while leaving room for caution about laying a double-digit spread.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game time: Saturday, Oct. 24, 2026, at 3:30 p.m. EDT. Sacramento State visits Ball State in this college football matchup.

Venue: Scheumann Stadium.

Broadcast: ESPN+.

Records: Sacramento St. Hornets 1-6; Ball St. Cardinals 2-5.

SportsJaw odds: Sacramento St. Hornets +14 (-106); Ball St. Cardinals -14 (-111). Moneyline: Sacramento St. Hornets +447; Ball St. Cardinals -600. Total: Over 51 (-110); Under 51 (-110).

SportsJaw total: Over 51 (-110); Under 51 (-110). Moneyline: Sacramento State +348; Ball State -477.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Sacramento St. Hornets outlook

The Hornets lost 48-7 to Ohio on Oct. 17, finishing with 267 yards against Ohio’s 468. A season-high 12 penalties cost Sacramento State 130 yards, and it committed one turnover. Cleaning up that performance is central to its chances of keeping this game competitive.

Jackson Sharman completed 11 of 21 passes for 69 yards. Brian Salazar Jr. completed four of five for 71 yards, including a 38-yard touchdown to Kenyon Shabazz. Those contrasting passing lines leave uncertainty about how much sustained production to expect; Salazar’s five attempts are a small sample.

Isaiah Ene contributed 59 rushing yards and Cincere Rhaney added 47. Shabazz led the receivers with 46 yards. Sacramento State needs those contributions to produce more scoring opportunities, especially if Ball State forces the Hornets to chase a deficit.

Ball St. Cardinals outlook

Ball State’s 32-31 overtime victory at Bowling Green on Oct. 17 featured 435 total yards, including 240 rushing yards. The Cardinals allowed 313 total yards and 98 on the ground. That yardage advantage is the strongest recent evidence behind the home-team forecast.

Keldric Luster supplied both passing and rushing production. He completed 16 of 24 throws for 195 yards, one touchdown and no interceptions, while rushing for 125 yards. His contribution gives Sacramento State more to account for than the running backs alone.

TJ Horton scored two rushing touchdowns, including the overtime winner, bringing his season total to seven. Eli Hohlt caught the 20-yard touchdown that tied the game as regulation expired. CJ Nelson added six catches for 59 yards, contributing to a passing attack that complemented the rushing output.

Key matchup factors

The central question is whether Ball State can turn its recent offensive production into a more comfortable result. Its yardage advantage at Bowling Green was substantial, but the final margin was one point. Production and separation are different hurdles for a favorite laying 11.5.

Sacramento State’s discipline is another major variable. Repeating a 130-yard penalty burden would make an upset much harder. A cleaner game would improve its chances of staying close, though fewer flags alone would not guarantee an offensive recovery.

These performances came against different opponents. They favor Ball State as the likely winner without supplying a direct measure of the gap between these teams.

Sacramento St. Hornets vs Ball St. Cardinals spread prediction

Pass on Ball State -11.5 (-110) and Sacramento State +11.5 (-110). The Cardinals have the stronger recent offensive showing, but their narrow win and 2-5 record temper enthusiasm for a large winning margin.

The projected eight-point margin falls on Sacramento State’s side of the spread. That is a forecast preference, not a recommended wager. The Hornets’ 41-point loss to Ohio and limited passing production make backing them with 11.5 points fragile as well. Neither side earns an official play.

Sacramento St. Hornets vs Ball St. Cardinals total prediction

Pass on Over 51 (-110) and Under 51 (-110). The projected 48 points sit below the line, but the scoring outlook is too uncertain to turn that difference into an Under recommendation.

Ball State’s latest game included overtime, while Sacramento State contributed only seven points to its game’s 55-point total. Those results offer very different pictures of scoring potential. The Hornets’ ability to sustain offense is especially important: another struggling performance and a meaningful rebound would produce very different total outcomes.

Sacramento St. Hornets vs Ball St. Cardinals projected score

Game forecast: Ball State 28, Sacramento State 20. Luster’s combined passing and rushing production gives the Cardinals the stronger recent offensive foundation. The strongest counterargument is that their substantial yardage advantage last week still required an overtime finish.

Confidence is low because the projected margin and Sacramento State’s scoring recovery remain uncertain. Ball State is the selected winner. The single official SportsJaw betting recommendation is Pass, with no wager on either the supplied spread or total.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Hornets20

Cardinals28

Projected winner Ball St. CardinalsConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass on Over 51 (-110) and Under 51 (-110)

Sources

  • AgentBets.aiSacramento State Hornets vs Ball State Cardinals Odds — Spread, Moneyline & Total
  • Ball State University AthleticsPrevious-game context: Cardinals Take First Road Win Since 2024 in Overtime Thriller at Bowling Green
  • Sacramento State AthleticsPrevious-game context: Football Suffers Loss to Ohio on Homecoming

SportsJaw Hornets vs Cardinals game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Hornets vs Cardinals matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Crowd vs qualified handicappers

No qualifying consensus sample is available yet.

Qualified handicappers need at least 20 graded picks and a 52.5% win rate. A market needs at least three current qualified picks. Selection share is not a win probability.

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Sacramento St. Hornets+340 → +447Moved
  • Moneyline · Ball St. Cardinals-450 → -600Moved
  • Spread · Sacramento St. Hornets+11.5 (-110) → +14 (-106)Moved
  • Spread · Ball St. Cardinals-11.5 (-110) → -14 (-111)Moved
  • Total · Over51 (-110) → 51 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under51 (-110) → 51 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Sacramento St. Hornets
1-6 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Ball St. Cardinals
2-5 matchup record · 4-5-1 ATS · 8-2-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-10-19T12:43:35.632Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Keep browsing

More NCAAF matchups

Compare predictions, consensus picks and recorded odds for other NCAAF games on this slate.

View all NCAAF games
NCAAFSat 3:30 PM
MICHST+14 (-110)
UCLA-14 (-108)
O/U44.5
NCAAFSat 3:30 PM
OKLA-3.5 (-115)
MIS.ST+3.5 (-105)
O/U45
NCAAFSat 3:30 PM
BOST.C+4 (-110)
GATECH-4 (-110)
O/U49.5
NCAAFSat 3:30 PM
BGREEN+3.5 (-110)
BUFF-3.5 (-110)
O/U44.5
NCAAFSat 3:30 PM
HAW-4.5 (-110)
NIU+4.5 (-110)
O/U47.5
NCAAFSat 3:30 PM
NTEXAS-2.5 (-110)
NAVY+2.5 (-110)
O/U62
NCAAFSat 3:45 PM
KAN.ST-3.5 (-105)
ARIZST+3.5 (-115)
O/U56.5
NCAAFSat 4:00 PM
E.MICH+12 (-110)
OHIO-12 (-108)
O/U48.5
NCAAFSat 4:00 PM
UL.MON+14.5 (-110)
TROY-14.5 (-110)
O/U51.5
NCAAFSat 5:00 PM
SJSU+5.5 (-110)
NEVADA-5.5 (-110)
O/U46.5