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NCAAF PicksSat 4:00 PM ET
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks logo
Louisiana-Monroe
Warhawks
0-6
versus
Troy Trojans logo
Troy
Trojans
3-3
NCAAF · Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks at Troy Trojans

Your Picks on Louisiana-Monroe vs Troy

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Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs Troy Trojans Predictions October 24, 2026

Game time: October 24, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET

Venue: Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL) — Troy, AL

Article updated Oct 19, 12:08 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Troy will beat Louisiana-Monroe, with a projected score of Troy 30, Louisiana-Monroe 13. The Warhawks’ winless record and recent shutout give the Trojans the stronger case, even after their own offensive struggles. Neither Troy -17.5 (-105) nor the total of 50.5 offers a convincing betting edge from these recent performances. The official recommendation is Pass, with low confidence in the forecast.

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs Troy Trojans prediction and best bet

Troy gets the pick because Louisiana-Monroe enters this matchup with the more troubling combination of results and offensive mistakes. The Warhawks fell to 0-6 after losing 24-0 to Louisiana Tech on October 17. Troy stands 3-3, although its 33-6 loss at Louisiana makes this a cautious forecast.

The best betting decision is Pass. Troy’s better record supports choosing a winner, but covering 17.5 points requires a stronger performance than the Trojans delivered last week. The recent low scoring also makes the Under tempting, yet one poor offensive game from each team is too narrow a foundation for an official total wager.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game time: Saturday, October 24, 2026, at 3 p.m. CT, according to Louisiana-Monroe’s official recap.

Venue: Veterans Memorial Stadium, with Troy hosting Louisiana-Monroe in this 2026 college football matchup.

Records: Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks 0-6; Troy Trojans 3-3.

SportsJaw odds: Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks +14.5 (-110); Troy Trojans -14.5 (-110). Moneyline: Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks +525; Troy Trojans -750. Total: Over 51.5 (-103); Under 51.5 (-115).

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

SportsJaw total: Over 50.5 (-118); Under 50.5 (-102).

SportsJaw moneyline: Louisiana-Monroe +625; Troy -950.

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks outlook

Louisiana-Monroe’s October 17 loss featured limited production and costly mistakes. The Warhawks gained 228 yards, including 165 passing and 63 rushing, against Louisiana Tech’s 340. They also committed 11 penalties for 118 yards and surrendered two turnovers. Improving possession quality is central to their chances against Troy.

Aidan Armenta completed 14 of 24 passes for 119 yards with two interceptions and added 25 rushing yards. JP Coulter led the receivers with four catches for 42 yards. Those individual results underline how much more Louisiana-Monroe needs from its passing attack to turn possessions into points.

Kevontay Wells supplied a productive defensive performance: eight tackles, 1.5 tackles for loss, a half-sack and a pass breakup. His work offers a reason to watch the defensive front, but Louisiana-Monroe also needs its offense to avoid wasting any favorable situations that unit creates.

Troy Trojans outlook

Troy’s loss at Louisiana exposed problems beyond the final score. The Trojans gained 267 yards, recorded 12 first downs and converted four of 16 combined third- and fourth-down attempts. Two turnovers inside their own 28-yard line led to 10 Louisiana points, making ball security an immediate priority.

Goose Crowder completed nine of 16 passes for 65 yards before leaving that game. Tucker Kilcrease followed with five completions in 10 attempts for 76 yards and scored Troy’s only touchdown on a 23-yard run. Those appearances describe last week’s quarterback usage; neither is presented here as a confirmed starter against Louisiana-Monroe.

Jace Petty caught four passes for a career-best 69 yards. His production was a positive within a difficult offensive outing. For Troy to justify a comfortable winning margin, it needs more possessions to survive beyond the isolated plays that worked against Louisiana.

Key matchup factors

The key distinction is between mistakes that end possessions and mistakes that give the opponent easy scoring opportunities. Both teams surrendered two turnovers last week, but Troy’s giveaways specifically produced short fields and 10 opposing points. Another sequence like that could change both the margin and total quickly.

Opponent context matters as well. These offensive struggles came against different defenses, so the two scores should not be treated as a direct preview of this game. Louisiana-Monroe’s winless record tips the forecast toward Troy; the Trojans’ own difficulties keep that edge modest.

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs Troy Trojans spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Troy -17.5 (-105) and Louisiana-Monroe +17.5 (-115). The projected 17-point Troy victory falls just inside the Warhawks’ number, but that half-point difference is too fragile to turn into a bet.

Backing Troy requires confidence in a substantial offensive recovery. Backing Louisiana-Monroe requires trusting a team coming off a shutout to stay competitive. Neither side offers enough separation between the forecast and the supplied spread to justify a wager.

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs Troy Trojans total prediction

Total pick: Total: Pass on Over 50.5 (-118) and Under 50.5 (-102). The projected 43 points favor a lower-scoring outcome, and last week’s offensive production explains that expectation. Still, a score forecast alone is not proof of betting value.

Turnovers are especially important to this decision. They can stop an offense, but they can also hand its opponent a short scoring drive. With that risk and only a limited recent view of each attack, the Under remains an analytical preference rather than an official wager.

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs Troy Trojans projected score

Game forecast: Troy Trojans 30, Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks 13. Louisiana-Monroe’s recent shutout and six losses make Troy the selection. The strongest counterargument is Troy’s own six-point performance, which leaves a comfortable home victory dependent on better execution.

Confidence is low. Troy is the projected winner, while both the spread and total recommendations are Pass. The single official SportsJaw betting lean is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Warhawks13

Trojans30

Projected winner Troy TrojansConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Spread: Pass on Louisiana-Monroe +17.5 (-115) and Troy -17.5 (-105)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Total: Pass on Over 50.5 (-118) and Under 50.5 (-102)

Sources

  • Troy University AthleticsPrevious-game context: Missed Opportunities Haunt Troy at Louisiana
  • University of Louisiana Monroe AthleticsPrevious-game context: Warhawks Drop in I-20 Showdown to Bulldogs
  • Sun Belt ConferencePrevious-game context: Louisiana Rolls, James Madison Stays Unbeaten in Sun Belt Football Week 7 Games

SportsJaw Warhawks vs Trojans game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Warhawks vs Trojans matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Crowd vs qualified handicappers

No qualifying consensus sample is available yet.

Qualified handicappers need at least 20 graded picks and a 52.5% win rate. A market needs at least three current qualified picks. Selection share is not a win probability.

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks+625 → +525Moved
  • Moneyline · Troy Trojans-950 → -750Moved
  • Spread · Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks+17.5 (-110) → +14.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Troy Trojans-17.5 (-110) → -14.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over50.5 (-117) → 51.5 (-103)Moved
  • Total · Under50.5 (-104) → 51.5 (-115)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks
0-6 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Troy Trojans
3-3 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 1-9-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-10-19T04:08:27.413Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2025-10-18Troy Trojans 37 · Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks 14
  • 2024-09-28Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks 13 · Troy Trojans 9
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