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NFL PicksSun 9:30 AM ET
Philadelphia Eagles logo
Philadelphia
Eagles
2-2
versus
Jacksonville Jaguars logo
Jacksonville
Jaguars
3-1
NFL · PHI at JAC

Your Picks on Eagles vs Jaguars

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Philadelphia vs Jacksonville consensus picks

PHI36%
64%JAC

Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars Predictions October 11, 2026

Game time: October 11, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET

Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium — London

Article updated Oct 9, 11:10 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Jacksonville Jaguars are projected to beat the Philadelphia Eagles 24-20 in London on Oct. 11. Jacksonville’s receiving depth and Philadelphia’s offensive injury concerns give the Jaguars the edge, although uncertainty around both teams’ personnel keeps confidence low. Neither Jaguars -7.5 (-110) nor the 41.5 total offers a convincing betting advantage, making Pass the official SportsJaw recommendation.

Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars prediction and best bet

Jacksonville is the pick to win, with its varied passing options presenting a difficult challenge for Philadelphia. The Jaguars enter this 2026 NFL matchup at 3-1, while the Eagles are 2-2 and managing practice absences at several important offensive positions.

Winning and covering are separate questions here. Jacksonville must win by at least eight points to cover -7.5 (-110), and its own injury concerns complicate that assignment. The forecast favors a competitive game, with neither side offering enough value against the spread. The official best-bet decision is Pass.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Date and venue: Oct. 11, 2026, at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London.

Records and division position: Jacksonville is 3-1 and leads the AFC South. Philadelphia is 2-2. This is the first of Jacksonville’s back-to-back London games.

SportsJaw spread and moneyline: Philadelphia +7.5 (-110) and Jacksonville -7.5 (-110); Philadelphia +300 and Jacksonville -369 to win outright.

SportsJaw total: Over 41.5 (-108) and Under 41.5 (-110).

Consensus: As of Oct. 9 at 14:55 UTC, the combined spread reading favored Jacksonville at 66%. SportsJaw member selections favored Jacksonville -7.5, while the sportsbook split favored that side at 58%. Those are measures of betting preference, not Jacksonville’s probability of covering.

Philadelphia Eagles outlook

DeVonta Smith’s availability matters because of the production Philadelphia could lose. He entered Week 5 averaging 6.3 receptions and 78.3 receiving yards per game, ranking eighth and 10th in the NFL, respectively. Smith and Saquon Barkley missed Thursday practice with hamstring injuries, while center Drew Kendall did not participate because of a knee injury.

Philadelphia is also adapting to first-year offensive coordinator Sean Mannion’s approach. Jacksonville’s Oct. 9 matchup report highlighted assignment and pass-protection problems in the Eagles’ preceding game. Potential absences could make those corrections harder, but Thursday participation alone is not a final ruling on Sunday availability.

There are encouraging developments, too. Dallas Goedert expects to return after missing two games with a knee injury, although he remained limited Thursday. Cornerback Quinyon Mitchell practiced fully after being limited Wednesday. His 7.9 yards allowed per reception entering Week 5 gives Philadelphia a useful coverage counterweight to Jacksonville’s passing attack.

Jacksonville Jaguars outlook

Jacksonville’s receiving production gives the offense several ways to attack. Through four games, Brenton Strange, Parker Washington, Jakobi Meyers and Brian Thomas Jr. each had more than 100 receiving yards and at least one touchdown. Washington contributed 16 catches for 228 yards and two scores; Meyers had 13 catches for 165 yards and two touchdowns.

Strange delivered career highs of seven catches and 95 yards in the Oct. 4 win at Cincinnati, which Jacksonville took 22-17. Trevor Lawrence’s 37 passing touchdowns since the beginning of the 2025 season ranked fourth in the NFL entering this matchup.

The defensive outlook is less straightforward. Montaric Brown, Jarrian Jones, Jourdan Lewis, DaVon Hamilton and Josh Hines-Allen were among Jacksonville’s limited Thursday participants. Travis Hunter offers a positive recent indicator with one interception and three pass breakups over the preceding two weeks, but that production does not erase the questions elsewhere.

Key matchup factors

The central question is how effectively Philadelphia can sustain drives while managing its offensive personnel. If its injured players can contribute, Jacksonville faces a different challenge than it would against a depleted group. Goedert’s anticipated return could help, but the forecast should leave room for both possibilities.

The quarterback comparison also cautions against treating this as a mismatch. Jalen Hurts had 32 passing touchdowns since the start of 2025, tied for sixth in the NFL, compared with Lawrence’s 37. Jacksonville gets the forecast edge from its receiving options and Philadelphia’s current concerns, rather than an assumption that Hurts cannot keep pace.

Philadelphia had won five straight meetings with Jacksonville entering this game. That history is a counterpoint to the favorite’s case, though it carries less weight in this forecast than current personnel and recent performance.

Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Jacksonville -7.5 (-110) and Philadelphia +7.5 (-110). The Jaguars’ advantages favor an outright win more clearly than an eight-point margin. Philadelphia’s practice absences are concerning, but treating those players as unavailable would overstate the case for laying the points.

The tracked spread moved from Jacksonville -3 on Oct. 4 to -7.5 on Oct. 9, substantially increasing the margin backers need. Combined consensus still favors Jacksonville, although Philadelphia’s share rose three percentage points from the previous day. The projected four-point margin points toward the Eagles, but uncertainty around their offense keeps that from becoming a recommendation.

Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 41.5 (-108) and Under 41.5 (-110). The projected 44 points sit above the line, with Jacksonville’s receiving depth and Hurts’ touchdown production offering a plausible route to the Over. Philadelphia’s offensive injury concerns pull in the other direction.

The combined total consensus favors Over at 78%, up two percentage points from the previous day; the sportsbook split is 72% toward Over. The consensus selections carry an Over 41.5 (-110) label, while the supplied SportsJaw wager price is Over 41.5 (-108). Neither the popularity of the Over nor one projected score makes it a strong enough official play.

Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars projected score

Game forecast: Jaguars 24, Eagles 20. Jacksonville’s distribution of receiving production gives it the preferred offensive outlook. Philadelphia’s strongest counterargument is that Hurts can keep the offense competitive, particularly if its injured contributors are able to play effectively, while Jacksonville has personnel concerns of its own.

Confidence is low because the injury picture could materially change the matchup. Jacksonville remains the projected winner, but the spread demands more separation than this forecast anticipates, and the total has credible arguments on both sides. The single official SportsJaw betting lean is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

PHI20

JAC24

Projected winner Jacksonville JaguarsConfidenceSlight Lean — Philadelphia Eagles
Pick on the Spread

Slight Lean — Philadelphia Eagles +7.5

Editorial pick at publication: Pass on Jacksonville Jaguars -7.5 (-110) and Philadelphia Eagles +7.5 (-110)

Pick on the Total

Slight Lean — Over 41.5

Editorial pick at publication: Pass on Over 41.5 (-108) and Under 41.5 (-110)

Sources

  • Philadelphia EaglesEagles at Jaguars Injury Report
  • Philadelphia EaglesBy the Numbers: Eagles at Jaguars
  • Jacksonville JaguarsJaguars Thursday: “That Attacking Mentality …”

SportsJaw Eagles vs Jaguars game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Eagles vs Jaguars matchups or learn how our predictions work.

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