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NFL PicksSun 4:25 PM ET
Green Bay Packers logo
Green Bay
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3-2
versus
Detroit Lions logo
Detroit
Lions
3-2
NFL · Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions

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Green Bay vs Detroit consensus picks

Green Bay Packers13%
87%Detroit Lions
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Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions Predictions October 25, 2026

Game time: October 25, 2026 at 4:25 PM ET

Venue: Ford Field — Detroit, MI

Article updated Oct 18, 9:06 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Detroit Lions will beat the Green Bay Packers, with a projected score of Lions 28, Packers 24, in their October 25 matchup. Jared Goff’s interception-free opening five games and Jahmyr Gibbs’ rushing and receiving production give Detroit the offensive edge. However, Detroit -3.5 (-110) leaves too little cushion against Green Bay’s explosive passing attack. The official betting recommendation is Pass.

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions prediction and best bet

Detroit gets the pick because its offense has shown productive options through both Goff and Gibbs. Green Bay’s rushing struggles make its offensive outlook less balanced, although its performance against Chicago offers a strong warning against expecting a comfortable Lions win.

The distinction is price. A four-point projected victory barely clears Detroit -3.5 (-110), leaving little room for the Packers’ big-play receivers to outperform expectations. Confidence in the winner is medium; neither the spread nor the total earns an official wager.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game: Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions, October 25, 2026, in the 2026 NFL season. Detroit’s October 16 report identifies this as its first division game of the season.

SportsJaw spread and moneyline: Green Bay +3.5 (-110), Detroit -3.5 (-110); Green Bay moneyline +158, Detroit moneyline -194.

SportsJaw total: Over 52.5 (-115), Under 52.5 (-105).

Recent results: Green Bay reached 3-2 by beating Chicago 31-7 on October 11. Detroit entered its Week 6 bye following a 45-21 victory over Arizona.

Green Bay Packers outlook

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Jordan Love gave Green Bay a convincing passing performance against Chicago, completing 25 of 31 attempts for 367 yards, two touchdowns and a 137.5 passer rating. Christian Watson supplied six catches for 143 yards and two touchdowns; Matthew Golden added six receptions for 123 yards.

The defense contributed five takeaways. Xavier McKinney intercepted two passes, while Devonte Wyatt recorded two sacks and forced a fumble. That performance illustrates Green Bay’s upside, but repeating such a turnover haul is a demanding foundation for an upset prediction.

Personnel changes also matter. The Packers placed defensive tackles Jonathan Ford and Javon Hargrave and receiver Skyy Moore on injured reserve on October 17. Savion Williams was activated from injured reserve/designated for return. Losing two defensive tackles raises concern about the interior against Gibbs, although those transactions alone do not quantify the likely impact.

Detroit Lions outlook

Goff’s first five games produced 1,485 passing yards, 12 touchdown passes, no interceptions and a 111.3 passer rating, according to Detroit’s October 15 report. His interception avoidance is particularly relevant against a Packers defense coming off a game with multiple picks.

Gibbs had 504 rushing yards and seven rushing touchdowns, along with 243 receiving yards and two receiving touchdowns through five games. Sam LaPorta added 27 receptions for 316 yards and three scores. Those contributions give Detroit several credible ways to move the ball without relying exclusively on deep throws.

DJ Wonnum led Detroit with 5.0 sacks through five games. The October 16 team report also said safety Brian Branch and center Cade Mays were trending toward returns after the bye. That was an encouraging update, not confirmation that either would play against Green Bay.

Key matchup factors

Detroit’s October 16 assessment ranked Green Bay last in NFL rushing while noting four completions of at least 40 yards against Chicago. That combination makes the Packers dangerous but potentially uneven: explosive passes can erase a deficit quickly, while fewer successful deep shots would put more pressure on their other offensive options.

The consensus favors Detroit on the moneyline. As of October 18 at 12:50 UTC, the combined consensus showed 522 Detroit selections out of 600, equivalent to 87%, with support for Detroit -190 up one percentage point from October 17. These counts combine a modeled sportsbook sample with SportsJaw participation; they are not observed sportsbook ticket totals or a standalone member vote. Moneyline support also says nothing directly about covering -3.5.

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Detroit -3.5 (-110) and Green Bay +3.5 (-110). Detroit’s offensive production supports picking the Lions, but the projected margin sits too close to the spread to justify laying the points.

Green Bay’s passing ceiling makes taking the points tempting. Still, its rushing weakness and defensive tackle absences keep the Packers from becoming the preferred wager. The strongest football case belongs to Detroit; the supplied spread offers a less convincing betting case.

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 52.5 (-115) and Under 52.5 (-105). The projected 52 points sit almost directly on the line.

Detroit’s 45-point showing against Arizona and Green Bay’s explosive Chicago performance illustrate the scoring upside. However, one standout game from each offense is a thin reason to bet Over. The slightly lower projection is equally unpersuasive as an Under recommendation, particularly with both teams showing substantial passing potential.

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions projected score

Game forecast: Lions 28, Packers 24. Detroit’s productive rushing and passing options earn the selection with medium confidence. The strongest counterargument is Green Bay’s ability to generate explosive completions and takeaways, either of which could overturn a narrow advantage. The winner pick remains Detroit, while the single official SportsJaw betting recommendation is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Packers24

Lions28

Projected winner Detroit LionsConfidencemedium
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass on Detroit Lions -3.5 (-110) and Green Bay Packers +3.5 (-110)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass on Over 52.5 (-115) and Under 52.5 (-105)

Sources

  • Detroit LionsTWENTYMAN: Breaking down the Lions' remaining games
  • Detroit LionsTWENTYMAN: 5 players who impressed through first five weeks
  • Green Bay PackersPrevious-game context: Packers defeat Bears, 31-7

SportsJaw Packers vs Lions game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Packers vs Lions matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Crowd vs qualified handicappers

No qualifying consensus sample is available yet.

Qualified handicappers need at least 20 graded picks and a 52.5% win rate. A market needs at least three current qualified picks. Selection share is not a win probability.

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Green Bay Packers+120 → +158Moved
  • Moneyline · Detroit Lions-142 → -194Moved
  • Spread · Green Bay Packers+2.5 (-110) → +3.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Detroit Lions-2.5 (-110) → -3.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over50.5 (-110) → 52.5 (-113)Moved
  • Total · Under50.5 (-110) → 52.5 (-113)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Green Bay Packers
3-2 matchup record · 1-6-3 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Detroit Lions
3-2 matchup record · 3-6-1 ATS · 8-2-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-10-18T13:06:55.661Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Personnel changes also matter. The Packers placed defensive tackles Jonathan Ford and Javon Hargrave and receiver Skyy Moore on injured reserve on October 17. Savion Williams was activated from injured reserve/designated for return. Losing two defensive tackles raises concern about the interior against Gibbs, although those transactions alone do not quantify the likely impact.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2025-11-27Green Bay Packers 31 · Detroit Lions 24
  • 2025-09-07Detroit Lions 13 · Green Bay Packers 27
  • 2024-12-05Green Bay Packers 31 · Detroit Lions 34
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