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NCAAF PicksSat 7:30 PM ET
Mississippi Rebels logo
Mississippi
Rebels
4-1
versus
Texas Longhorns logo
Texas
Longhorns
4-2
NCAAF · Mississippi Rebels at Texas Longhorns

Your Picks on Mississippi vs Texas

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Mississippi Rebels vs Texas Longhorns Predictions October 24, 2026

Game time: October 24, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET

Venue: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium — Austin, TX

Article updated Oct 18, 12:00 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Texas is projected to beat Mississippi 28-24, with its position as the supplied market favorite giving the Longhorns a narrow forecasting edge. Mississippi's strong rushing performance against Missouri makes a competitive finish plausible, but the evidence is too uneven to identify betting value. Pass on Texas -6.5 (-110), Mississippi +6.5 (-110) and the 53.5 total.

Mississippi Rebels vs Texas Longhorns prediction and best bet

Texas is the pick to win this October 24 college football matchup, with low confidence and no official wager. The Longhorns' -155 moneyline supplies the clearest indication of expected superiority, while Mississippi's latest performance offers a credible argument for a close game.

The distinction matters: choosing the likely winner requires less conviction than backing a team to cover 6.5 points. Mississippi's win over Missouri makes the Rebels interesting with the points, but one strong result against a different opponent is not enough to establish that the spread is favorable. The best betting decision is Pass.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Kickoff: Saturday, October 24, 2026, at 6:30 p.m. CT, as announced by Ole Miss Athletics.

Venue: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium.

Broadcast: ABC.

Records: Mississippi Rebels 4-1; Texas Longhorns 4-2.

SportsJaw odds: Mississippi Rebels +3.5 (-115); Texas Longhorns -3.5 (-106). Moneyline: Mississippi Rebels +130; Texas Longhorns -155. Total: Over 52.5 (-110); Under 52.5 (-110).

SportsJaw total: Over 53.5 (-106); Under 53.5 (-114). Moneyline: Mississippi +188; Texas -230.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Mississippi Rebels outlook

Mississippi beat Missouri 31-3 on October 17, pairing substantial rushing production with a defense that allowed little scoring. Kewan Lacy ran for a season-high 122 yards on 16 carries, and Makhi Frazier added 101 yards on 15 attempts. The Rebels finished with 257 rushing yards to Missouri's 39.

Trinidad Chambliss contributed through both the passing game and his own scoring threat. He completed 20 of 36 throws for 241 yards and accounted for four touchdowns, three passing and one rushing. That combination gives Mississippi an appealing route to an upset if its backs remain productive and Chambliss finishes scoring opportunities.

Sharif Denson recorded nine tackles, and Landon Barnes intercepted a pass. Those contributions helped complete an impressive defensive result. The caution is how much of that performance carries into this matchup: success against Missouri is encouraging, but it is not a measurement of how Mississippi will handle Texas.

Texas Longhorns outlook

Texas enters this forecast with the advantage in the betting market. Its -230 moneyline and -6.5 spread point toward a Longhorns win, although neither price explains the football reasons behind that expectation. Treating the two prices as separate confirmations would overstate the case.

The October 12 record and ranking offer some earlier-season context, but they should carry less weight than a current performance assessment. There is no similarly detailed, current Texas account here to justify claims about its quarterback, rushing defense or offensive efficiency. The Texas selection therefore remains a cautious judgment based principally on the market, not a claim of a verified personnel advantage.

Key matchup factors

Mississippi's ability to preserve offensive balance is the most useful football question. If Texas forces the Rebels away from their running game, Chambliss would face a different assignment from the one reflected in the Missouri result. If both backs remain effective, Mississippi has a plausible way to keep the score close.

The central uncertainty is the comparison between opponents. Missouri's limited rushing production cannot simply become a forecast for Texas, and Mississippi's offensive output should not be assumed to repeat. That uncertainty keeps the projected margin modest and prevents an enthusiastic endorsement of either spread side.

Mississippi Rebels vs Texas Longhorns spread prediction

Pass on Mississippi +6.5 (-110) and Texas -6.5 (-110). The projected four-point Texas win falls on the Mississippi side of the spread, but the precision of that margin should not be mistaken for a demonstrated betting edge.

Texas needs a victory by at least seven points to cover. Mississippi can cover by winning outright or losing by six or fewer. The Rebels' recent performance makes that second outcome plausible, yet the missing Texas comparison leaves too much uncertainty to make Mississippi +6.5 (-110) an official wager.

Mississippi Rebels vs Texas Longhorns total prediction

Pass on Over 53.5 (-106) and Under 53.5 (-114). The projected 52 points sit below the total, but that small difference is too fragile to justify an Under bet.

Mississippi's latest game showed both scoring ability and defensive resistance. Those elements pull in different directions when estimating a combined score. Without a comparable current view of Texas, neither an offensive shootout nor a low-scoring contest deserves enough conviction for a wager.

Mississippi Rebels vs Texas Longhorns projected score

Game forecast: Texas Longhorns 28, Mississippi Rebels 24. Texas gets the winner selection because of its favored status, while Mississippi's productive backfield and Chambliss's recent scoring contribution keep the projected margin within a touchdown.

The strongest counterargument is Mississippi's comprehensive win over Missouri, which offers a credible upset case. Confidence is low because the Texas case lacks comparable current detail. Both the spread and total remain passes, and the single official SportsJaw betting lean is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Rebels24

Longhorns28

Projected winner Texas LonghornsConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Sources

  • Ole Miss AthleticsFootball Receives Kickoff Time and Network for Showdown at Texas
  • Ole Miss AthleticsPrevious-game context: Football Takes Down No. 13 Missouri on Homecoming, 31-3

SportsJaw Rebels vs Longhorns game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Rebels vs Longhorns matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Crowd vs qualified handicappers

No qualifying consensus sample is available yet.

Qualified handicappers need at least 20 graded picks and a 52.5% win rate. A market needs at least three current qualified picks. Selection share is not a win probability.

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Mississippi Rebels+260 → +130Moved
  • Moneyline · Texas Longhorns-350 → -155Moved
  • Spread · Mississippi Rebels+8.5 (-110) → +3.5 (-115)Moved
  • Spread · Texas Longhorns-8.5 (-110) → -3.5 (-106)Moved
  • Total · Over54.5 (-115) → 52.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under54.5 (-105) → 52.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Mississippi Rebels
4-1 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Texas Longhorns
4-2 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-10-18T04:00:34.905Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

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