New York Jets vs Chicago Bears Predictions October 4, 2026
The Chicago Bears will beat the New York Jets, Bears 23, Jets 17, with their NFL-leading rushing production providing the strongest matchup reason. Chicago's quarterback uncertainty and defensive absences keep confidence low despite New York's offensive injuries. Neither Bears -3.5 (-110) nor Under 43 (-110) offers a sufficiently convincing edge at the supplied price. The official betting recommendation is Pass.
New York Jets vs Chicago Bears prediction and best bet
Chicago gets the pick because its running game offers the clearest demonstrated strength in this matchup. The Bears lead the NFL with 184.3 rushing yards per game and 5.27 rushing yards per play. With D'Andre Swift carrying no game-status designation after Friday's practice, that production is the foundation for a Bears 23, Jets 17 forecast.
The best betting decision is Pass. Caleb Williams is out, Chicago has not announced its replacement starter, and left tackle Braxton Jones is also unavailable. New York has substantial offensive losses, but Geno Smith's encouraging start and Chicago's defensive injuries complicate both markets. A Chicago victory is the forecast; a dependable betting advantage is a higher bar.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Game: New York Jets at Chicago Bears, 2026 NFL season, Sunday, October 4. Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET. Broadcast: FOX.
Venue: Soldier Field, Chicago, Illinois. Records: Jets 1-2; Bears 2-1 following their September 28 victory over Philadelphia.
Quarterbacks: Geno Smith for New York; Chicago had not named Tyson Bagent or Case Keenum as Williams' replacement.
SportsJaw spread: Jets +3.5 (-108), Bears -3.5 (-110). Moneyline: Jets +165, Bears -190. Total: Over 43 (-110), Under 43 (-110).