Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Predictions October 4, 2026
The Green Bay Packers will beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 20-17, with Jordan Love’s passing production providing the strongest advantage against a team starting rookie Jalon Daniels. Green Bay’s defensive problems make this a low-confidence forecast, however. Neither Packers -3.5 (-108) nor the total of 38.5 (-110) offers a convincing betting edge. The official recommendation is Pass.
Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers prediction and best bet
Green Bay gets the pick because its passing attack has delivered production that Tampa Bay must now seek from a debuting quarterback. Love has 844 passing yards through three games. Christian Watson, Matthew Golden and Tucker Kraft have combined for 643 receiving yards and five touchdowns. That gives the Packers a plausible way to attack a Buccaneers team whose official reporting identifies big plays as a problem.
The best betting decision is Pass. Green Bay just surrendered 498 yards to Atlanta, and Tampa Bay ranks sixth in yards allowed. Those concerns narrow the forecast to Packers 20, Buccaneers 17, leaving too little separation to back Green Bay -3.5 (-108).
Odds, game time and how to watch
Kickoff: Sunday, October 4, 2026, at 1 p.m. ET, NFL Week 4.
Venue: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Florida. Television: FOX.
Forecast: Partly sunny, very humid, high of 91°F, feels like 103°F, 59% rain chance, ESE winds.
Records: Green Bay 1-2; Tampa Bay 0-3. Expected quarterbacks: Jordan Love and Jalon Daniels.
SportsJaw odds: Green Bay moneyline -185, Tampa Bay +160. Spread: Packers -3.5 (-108), Buccaneers +3.5 (-110). Total: Over 38.5 (-110), Under 38.5 (-110).