Utah State Aggies vs Texas State Bobcats Predictions October 24, 2026
Texas State will beat Utah State, with a projected score of Texas State 38, Utah State 24. Torrance Burgess Jr.’s nationally leading rushing production gives the Bobcats the strongest matchup advantage entering October 24. The forecast favors Texas State with medium confidence, but neither the supplied Texas State -12.5 spread nor the 61-point total offers a compelling wager. The official SportsJaw betting lean is Pass.
Utah State Aggies vs Texas State Bobcats prediction and best bet
Texas State gets the pick because its rushing success extends beyond one spectacular game. Burgess led FBS in rushing yards per game and yards per carry through seven weeks, giving the Bobcats a sustained offensive strength behind their latest breakout. That carries more weight in this forecast than either team’s overall record.
Utah State’s receiving production and defensive response to turnovers offer reasons to expect resistance. The distinction is the margin: Texas State can be the more likely winner without being an attractive bet to cover 12.5 points. The best betting decision is Pass, with the spread and total evaluated separately below.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Game time: Saturday, October 24, 2026, at 5:30 p.m. Mountain Time, according to Utah State Athletics’ October 19 preview.
Broadcast: CBS Sports Network.
Records: Utah State Aggies 2-4; Texas State Bobcats 3-3.
SportsJaw odds: Utah State Aggies +13.5 (-111); Texas State Bobcats -13.5 (-105). Moneyline: Utah State Aggies +400; Texas State Bobcats -525. Total: Over 60.5 (-105); Under 60.5 (-110).
Consensus: As of October 20 at 03:57 UTC, Texas State led the blended moneyline consensus at 78%, equivalent to 468 of 600 combined modeled selections. Those counts incorporate a modeled sportsbook sample and SportsJaw participation; they are not observed tickets or a member-pick tally. The spread was evenly divided, 300-300. Utah State +12.5 occupied the displayed leader field at 50%, which represents a tie.