Colorado Buffaloes vs Baylor Bears Predictions
Baylor brings consecutive home wins into its conference opener, but Colorado’s steady rushing production and the Bears’ quarterback uncertainty complicate the betting case.
Matchup overview
Colorado’s ability to sustain its rushing production while protecting the ball is central to this Big 12 opener. The Buffaloes visit Baylor on September 26, 2026, after four turnovers and three unsuccessful fourth-down attempts spoiled their offensive output at Northwestern. Baylor enters after consecutive home victories, with Nate Bennett delivering four total touchdowns against Louisiana Tech. That recent contrast supports a favorable view of the Bears, but their expected quarterback return introduces uncertainty. At SportsJaw’s Baylor -10 (-110), identifying the stronger recent performance does not establish a betting advantage.
At a glance
Kickoff: September 26, 2026, at 11 a.m. CT.
Venue: McLane Stadium in Waco, Texas. Broadcast: ESPN2.
Records: Both teams are 2-1 entering their Big 12 openers. Baylor has won two straight home games; Colorado lost its latest game at Northwestern.
Quarterback update: Baylor coach Dave Aranda expected DJ Lagway to return after missing two games with an ankle injury.
SportsJaw moneyline: Colorado +300; Baylor -380.
SportsJaw spread: Colorado +10 (-110); Baylor -10 (-110). SportsJaw total: over 55.5 (-110); under 55.5 (-110).
Colorado Buffaloes outlook
Colorado’s rushing production has been its most consistent offensive measure through three games. The Buffaloes have reached at least 180 rushing yards in every outing, averaging 181 per game and 4.5 yards per carry. Their overall averages stand at 411 yards and 24.3 points. Under first-year offensive coordinator Brennan Marion, that ground game gives Baylor a specific preparation challenge through varied backfield alignments and triple-option looks.