Sam Houston St. Bearkats vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Predictions September 26, 2026
Texas Tech will beat Sam Houston, with a projected score of Texas Tech 38, Sam Houston 17. The Red Raiders’ sustained home success, including 10 consecutive home wins, supplies the strongest matchup advantage. Landyn Locke’s passing production gives the Bearkats a credible response, however, and neither Texas Tech -34.5 nor the 55.5 total offers a convincing wager at the supplied prices.
Sam Houston St. Bearkats vs Texas Tech Red Raiders prediction and best bet
Texas Tech is the pick to win this Sept. 26 college football matchup, with medium confidence. The No. 11 Red Raiders enter 3-0 and have gone 24-5 at home under Joey McGuire. That sustained success in Lubbock carries more weight in this forecast than the schools’ two meetings from previous decades.
The official best bet is Pass. Sam Houston brings a quarterback with three consecutive 300-yard passing performances and a defense allowing 290.7 yards per game. Those numbers deserve consideration before laying 34.5 points. They also leave competing possibilities for the total: the Bearkats could limit scoring through their defense or contribute enough offense to push the game higher.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Kickoff: Saturday, Sept. 26, 2026, at 11 a.m. Central.
Venue: Galaxy Stadium, Lubbock, Texas, according to both teams’ current previews.
Broadcast: TNT.
Records: Sam Houston is 1-2 overall and 0-0 in Conference USA. Texas Tech is 3-0 overall and 1-0 in the Big 12, with 10 straight home wins.
SportsJaw spreads: Sam Houston +34.5 (-110); Texas Tech -34.5 (-110).
Moneylines: Sam Houston +2,500; Texas Tech -10,000. Total: Over 55.5 (-110) or Under 55.5 (-110).